Description: Das Projekt "H2020-EU.3.5. - Societal Challenges - Climate action, Environment, Resource Efficiency and Raw Materials - (H2020-EU.3.5. - Gesellschaftliche Herausforderungen - Klimaschutz, Umwelt, Ressourceneffizienz und Rohstoffe), The Added Value of Seasonal Climate Forecasts for Integrated Risk Management Decisions (SECLI-FIRM)" wird/wurde gefördert durch: Kommission der Europäischen Gemeinschaften Brüssel. Es wird/wurde ausgeführt durch: University East Anglia.The central objective of SECLI-FIRM is to demonstrate how the use of improved climate forecasts, out to several months ahead, can add practical and economic value to decision-making processes and outcomes, primarily in the energy sector, but also in the water sector. Specifically for the energy sector, SECLI-CLIM will assess the impact on operational planning and portfolio management, such as hedging and asset optimization, thus enabling quantification of the value-add provided by seasonal forecasts which have been calibrated, evaluated and tailored for each specific application. Improvements in management decisions will ultimately lead to an improved supply-demand balance and therefore to a more efficient energy system, particularly with respect to renewable energy, with corresponding benefits for climate change mitigation. A simple, but effective, methodology will be used to assess value added. A control case will only utilise climatological conditions based on historical averaged values - currently the most common approach - while a test case will also consider individually optimised and tailored state-of-the-art probabilistic seasonal forecasts. This will be done for nine case studies for Europe and South America: recent seasons with anomalous/extreme climate conditions leading to problematic and quantifiable impacts for the energy and/or water industry. Crucially for success, the case studies will be co-designed by industrial and research partners. These case studies will provide the basis for developing pilot climate services for a number of specific applications, allowing evaluation of the added value of near real-time information for decision making. Thus SECLI-FIRM will promote research advances in the optimization of seasonal forecasts for specific applications (e.g. by evaluating both local processes and large-scale teleconnections), as well as promoting the uptake of seasonal forecasts by industry and hence expansion of the climate services market.
SupportProgram
Origin: /Bund/UBA/UFORDAT
Tags: Wasserwiederverwendung ? Blei ? Klimaprognose ? Fischer-Tropsch-Verfahren ? Kalibrierung ? Erneuerbare Energie ? Verfahrensoptimierung ? Prognose ? Industrie ? Marktforschung ? Klimaforschung ? Fallstudie ? Gewässerzustand ? Jahreszeit ? Rohstoff ? Wasserreinigung ? Bewertung ? Bilanz ? Dienstleistungssektor ? Klimaschutz ? Wirkung ? Amerika ? Europa ? Probabilistische Methode ? Energiemanagementsystem ? Energie ? Klimarisiko ? Ressourceneffizienz ? Kennzahl ? Klima ? Gebiet ? Risikomanagement ? Markt ? Produktdesign ? Umwelt ? Forschung ? Wasserwirtschaft ? Bram-Verfahren ? Adsox-Verfahren ? H2020-EU.3.5.1. - Fighting and adapting to climate change ? Bilanz [Betriebswirtschaft] ? Wirtschaftsgut ? Überwachungswert ? Wertschöpfung ?
License: cc-by-nc-nd/4.0
Language: Englisch/English
Time ranges: 2018-02-01 - 2021-07-31
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