Das Ziel des Projektes ist die skalenabhängige Evaluierung von Niederschlagsprognosen der DWD-Modellkette (LM/GME) bezüglich dynamischer Parameter und Wolkeneigenschaften. Ein neu entwickelter dynamischer Zustandsindex (DSI), die mit der spezifischen Feuchte gewichtete Divergenz sowie Wolkentyp, Bedeckung und Höhe der Wolkenobergrenze sind die Evaluierungsparamater. Der DSI wurde aus den ursprünglichen Gleichungen abgeleitet und beschreibt die Abweichungen von einem verallgemeinerten dynamischen Gleichgewicht, verursacht durch Instationarität und diabatische Prozesse. Die Evaluierung konzentriert sich auf die Wechselwirkungen zwischen der synoptischen und konvektiven Skala, die häufig die Ursache für extreme Niederschlagsereignisse sind. Sie untersucht die Beziehung zwischen den synoptisch-skaligen Prozessen und der konvektiven Parameterisierung. Eine Voraussetzung der Evaluierung ist eine vom Modell unabhängige feldmäßige Analyse des täglichen Niederschlages und der Wolkenparameter in der Gitterauflösung des LM/GME. Ein schon existierendes Analyseschema der synoptischen Beobachtungen wird weiter verbessert und erweitert durch Satellitendaten. Diese liefern kontinuierliche Wolkendaten und Niederschlagsraten. Die Genauigkeit der analysierten Felder wird mit Hilfe moderner statistischer Methoden abgeschätzt. In einem weiteren Schritt werden die getesteten dynamischen Parameter zu einer quasi-prognostischen Niederschlagsvorhersage oder als Prediktoren für einen MOS-Ansatz verwendet.
The Labrador Sea is one of the few places in the world ocean, where deep water formation takes place. This water is exported from the Labrador Sea to become part of the southward branch of the meridional overturning circulation. Previous observational work has largely focused on the role of deep convection in the interior of the Labrador Sea. Recent evidence from observations and numerical ocean models specifically indicate that processes near the ocean boundaries might be most relevant for both Eulerian downwelling of waters in the Labrador Sea and the fast export of newly transformed waters. We propose to analyze mooring based observations at the western margin of the Labrador Sea together with high resolution numerical model simulations to understand the role both processes play for the meridional overturning circulation in the subpolar North Atlantic. Specifically, we want to test (i) if (and where) downwelling occurs along the margins of the Labrador Sea, (ii) how downwelling relates to the seasonal evolution of convection and eddy activity, (iii) how fast waters newly transformed near the western margin of the Labrador Sea are exported, and (iv) how the two processes (downwelling, fast export) affect the temporal variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation.
Agriculture is the major contributor of nitrogen to ecosystems, both by organic and inorganic fertilizers. Percolation of nitrate to groundwater and further transport to surface waters is assumed to be one of the major pathways in the fate of this nitrogen. The quantification of groundwater and associated nitrate flux to streams is still challenging. In particular because we lack understanding of the spatial distribution and temporal variability of groundwater and associated NO3- fluxes. In this preliminary study we will focus on the identification and quantification of groundwater and associated nitrate fluxes by combining high resolution distributed fiber-optic temperature sensing (DTS) with in situ UV photometry (ProPS). DTS is a new technique that is capable to measure temperature over distances of km with a spatial resolution of ca1 m and an accuracy of 0.01 K. It has been applied successfully to identify and quantify sources of groundwater discharge to streams. ProPS is a submersible UV process photometer, which uses high precision spectral analyses to provide single substance concentrations, in our case NO3-, at minute intervals and a detection limit of less than 0.05 mg l-1 (ca.0.01 mg NO3--Nl-1). We will conduct field experiments using artificial point sources of lateral inflow to test DTS and ProPS based quantification approaches and estimate their uncertainty. The selected study area is the Schwingbach catchment in Hessen, Germany, which has a good monitoring infrastructure. Preliminary research on hydrological fluxes and field observations indicate that the catchment favors the intended study.
The gross carbon uptake of terrestrial vegetation through photosynthesis is a crucial parameter in climate change research. A global, observation-based characterization of ecosystem gross primary production can only be performed with satellite measurements. However, the traditional description of vegetation from space is based on the so-called spectral vegetation indices, which are not able to provide a reliable indication of photosynthetic efficiency driving carbon assimilation by vegetation. This results in an inherent limitation of existing satellite products to provide an accurate description of ecosystem functioning. By contrast, ongoing developments in instrument design and modelling approaches have very recently made possible the retrieval of vegetation chlorophyll fluorescence from space measurements. A vast number of laboratory and field experiments have demonstrated that fluorescence is a direct proxy to vegetation light use efficiency which can therefore enable a much more accurate description of gross primary production. This project proposes the implementation of a research group with focus on the global monitoring and interpretation of chlorophyll fluorescence from existing and upcoming Earth Observation missions. This task will imply the development of a variety of atmospheric-surface radiative transfer modelling approaches, data processing, retrieval techniques and ecosystem modelling tools, with the ultimate objective of developing a new approach to the observation of carbon assimilation by vegetation from space.
Glendonites are pseudomorphs after the mineral ikaite (CaCO3 x 6H2O) and composed of calcite (CaCO3). In the past, they have been used as a paleo-thermometer because the primary mineral ikaite, according to observations and experiments, seems to be formed at temperatures near freezing, high alkalinity and high phosphate concentrations in marine sediments. An enigmatic occurrence of the largest glendonites known world-wide, in the Early Eocene Fur Formation of northwestern Denmark offers the unique possibility to shed more light on the actual mechanism and controlling parameters of ikaite formation. Right in the aftermath of the Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum, a time known for its global pertubation in the global carbon cycle, the formation of authigenic calcium carbonate concretions start in the Fur Formation. In a specific stratigraphic interval inbetween these concretions, the glendonites can be found. We will investigate if termperature changes or changes in geochemical parameters of the Danish Basin caused the sudden formation of ikaite during a time interval that was based on known paleoclimatic reconstructions (semi tropic) not favorable for ikaite formation.
Especially during the last decades, the natural forests of Ethiopia have been heavily disturbed by human activities. Some forests have been totally cleared and converted into fields for agricultural use, other suffered from different influences, such as heavy grazing and selective logging. The ongoing research in the Shashemane-Munessa-study area (Gu 406/8-1,2) showed clearly that, in spite of interdiction and control, forests continue to be cleared and degraded. However, it is not yet sufficiently known, how and why these processes are still going on. Growing population pressure and economic constraints for the people living in and around the forests contribute to the actual situation but allow no final answers to the complex situation. Concerning a sustainable management of the forests there is to no solid basis for recommendations from the socioeconomic and socio-cultural view. Therefore, a comprehensive analysis of the traditional needs and forms of forest use, including all forest products, is necessary. The objective of this project is, to achieve this basis by carrying out intensive field observations, the consultation of aerial photographs, satellite imagery and above all semi-structured interviews with the population in the study area in order to contribute to the recommendations for a sustainable use of the Munessa Shasemane forests.
Halogenradikale spielen eine Schlüsselrolle in der Chemie der polaren Grenzschicht. Alljährlich im Frühjahr beobachtet man riesige Flächen von mehreren Millionen Quadratkilometern mit stark erhöhten Konzentrationen von reaktivem Brom, welches von salzhaltigen Oberflächen in der Arktis und Antarktis emittiert werden. Dieses Phänomen ist auch als Bromexplosion bekannt. Des Weiteren detektieren sowohl boden- als auch satellitengestützte Messungen signifikante Mengen von Jodoxid über der Antarktis, jedoch nicht in der Arktis. Die Gründe für diese Asymmetrie sind nach wie vor unbekannt, aber das Vorhandensein von nur wenigen ppt reaktiven Jods in der antarktischen Grenzschicht sollte einen signifikanten Einfluss auf das chemische Gleichgewicht der Atmosphäre haben und zu einer Verstärkung des durch Brom katalysierten Ozonabbaus im polaren Frühjahr haben. Der Schwerpunkt der Aktivitäten im Rahmen von HALOPOLE III wird auf der Untersuchung von wichtigen Fragestellungen liegen, die im Rahmen der Vorgängerprojekte HALOPOLE I und II im Bezug auf die Quellen, Senken und Transformationsprozesse von reaktiven Halogenverbindungen in Polarregionen aufgetreten sind. Basierend sowohl auf der synergistischen Untersuchung der bislang gewonnen Daten aus Langzeit - und Feldmessungen sowie auf neuartigen Messungen in der Antarktis sind die wesentlichen Schwerpunkte: (1) Die Untersuchung einer im Rahmen von HALOPOLE II aufgetretenen eklatanten Diskrepanz zwischen aktiven und passiven Messungen DOAS Messungen von IO. (2) Eine eingehende Analyse der DOAS Langzeitmessungen von der Neumayer Station und Arrival Heights (Antarktis) sowie Alert (Kanada) bezüglich Meteorologie, Ursprung der Luftmassen, Vertikalverteilung, sowie des Einflusses von Schnee, Meereis und Eisblumen auf die Freisetzung von reaktiven Halogenverbindungen. (3) Die Untersuchung der kleinskaligen räumlicher und zeitlichen Variation von BrO auf der Basis einer detaillierten Analyse der flugzeuggebundenen MAX-DOAS Messungen während der BROMEX 2012 Kampagne in Barrow/Alaska. (4) Die Analyse der kürzlich in der marginalen Eiszone der Antarktis auf dem Forschungsschiff Polarstern durchgeführten Messungen im Hinblick auf die horizontale und vertikale Verteilung von BrO und IO, sowie den Einfluss der Halogenchemie auf den Ozon- und Quecksilberhaushalt. (5) Weitere detaillierte Untersuchungen des Einflusses von Halogenradikalen, insbesondere Chlor und Jod, auf das chemische Gleichgewicht der polaren Grenzschicht auf der Basis einer Messkampagne in Halley Bay, Antarktis. (6) Detailliertere Langzeit-Messungen von Halogenradikalen und weiteren Substanzen auf der Neumayer Station mittels eines neuen Langpfad-DOAS Instruments welches im Rahmen dieses Projektes entwickelt wird. Zusätzlich zu den bereits existierenden MAX-DOAS Messungen werden diese eine ganzjährige Messungen des vollen Tagesganges sowie die Untersuchung nicht nur der Brom- und Jodchemie, sondern auch der Chlorchemie ermöglichen.
The CHAMP mission provided a great amount of geomagnetic data all over the globe from 2000 to 2010. Its dense data coverage has allowed us to build GRIMM - GFZ Reference Internal Magnetic Model - which has the highest ever resolution for the core field in both space and time. We have already modeled the fluid flow in the Earth's outer core by applying the diffusionless magnetic induction equation to the latest version of GRIMM, to find that the flow evolves on subdecadal timescales, with a remarkable correlation to the observed fluctuation of Earth rotation. These flow models corroborated the presence of six-year torsional oscillations in the outer core fluid. Torsional oscillation (TO) is a type of hydromagnetic wave, theoretically considered to form the most important element of decadal or subdecadal core dynamics. It consists of relative azimuthal rotations of rigid fluid annuli coaxial with the mantle's rotation and dynamically coupled with the mantle and inner core. In preceding works, the TOs have been studied by numerical simulations, either with full numerical dynamos, or solving eigenvalue problems ideally representing the TO system. While these studies drew insights about dynamical aspects of the modeled TOs, they did not directly take into account the observations of geomagnetic field and Earth rotation. Particularly, there have been no observation-based studies for the TO using satellite magnetic data or models. In the proposed project, we aim at revealing the subdecadal dynamics and energetics of the Earth's core-mantle system on the basis of satellite magnetic observations. To that end, we will carry out four work packages (1) to (4), for all of which we use GRIMM. (1) We perform timeseries analyses of core field and flow models, to carefully extract the signals from TOs at different latitudes. (2) We refine the conventional flow modeling scheme by parameterizing the magnetic diffusion at the core surface. Here, the diffusion term is reinstated in the magnetic induction equation, which is dynamically constrained by relating it to the Lorentz term in the Navier-stokes equation. (3) We develop a method to compute the electromagnetic core-mantle coupling torque on the core fluid annuli, whereby the energy dissipation due to the Joule heating is evaluated for each annulus. This analysis would provide insights on whether the Earth's TOs are free or forced oscillations. (4) Bringing together physical implications and computational tools obtained by (1) to (3), we finally construct a dynamical model for the Earth's TOs and core-mantle coupling such that they are consistent with GRIMM and Earth rotation observation. This modeling is unique in that the force balances concerning the TOs are investigated in time domain, as well as that the modeling also aims at improving the observation-based core flow model by considering the core dynamics.
To predict ecosystem reactions to elevated atmospheric CO2 (eCO2) it is essential to understandthe interactions between plant carbon input, microbial community composition and activity and associated nutrient dynamics. Long-term observations (greater than 13 years) within the Giessen Free Air Carbon dioxide Enrichment (Giessen FACE) study on permanent grassland showed next to an enhanced biomass production an unexpected strong positive feedback effect on ecosystem respiration and nitrous oxide (N2O) production. The overall goal of this study is to understand the long-term effects of eCO2 and carbon input on microbial community composition and activity as well as the associated nitrogen dynamics, N2O production and plant N uptake in the Giessen FACE study on permanent grassland. A combination of 13CO2 pulse labelling with 15N tracing of 15NH4+ and 15NO3- will be carried out in situ. Different fractions of soil organic matter (recalcitrant, labile SOM) and the various mineral N pools in the soil (NH4+, NO3-, NO2-), gross N transformation rates, pool size dependent N2O and N2 emissions as well as N species dependent plant N uptake rates and the origin of the CO2 respiration will be quantified. Microbial analyses will include exploring changes in the composition of microbial communities involved in the turnover of NH4+, NO3-, N2O and N2, i.e. ammonia oxidizing, denitrifying, and microbial communities involved in dissimilatory nitrate reduction to ammonia (DNRA). Stable Isotope Probing (SIP) and mRNA based analyses will be employed to comparably evaluate the long-term effects of eCO2 on the structure and abundance of these communities, while transcripts of these genes will be used to target the fractions of the communities which actively contribute to N transformations.
In hydrology, the relationship between water storage and flow is still fundamental in characterizing and modeling hydrological systems. However, this simplification neglects important aspects of the variability of the hydrological system, such as stable or instable states, tipping points, connectivity, etc. and influences the predictability of hydrological systems, both for extreme events as well as long-term changes. We still lack appropriate data to develop theory linking internal pattern dynamics and integral responses and therefore to identify functionally similar hydrological areas and link this to structural features. We plan to investigate the similarities and differences of the dynamic patterns of state variables and the integral response in replicas of distinct landscape units. A strategic and systematic monitoring network is planned in this project, which contributes the essential dynamic datasets to the research group to characterize EFUs and DFUs and thus significantly improving the usual approach of subdividing the landscape into static entities such as the traditional HRUs. The planned monitoring network is unique and highly innovative in its linkage of surface and subsurface observations and its spatial and temporal resolution and the centerpiece of CAOS.
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