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In the last decades agricultural policy has gained increasingly in complexity. Nowadays it influences the food and agricultural sector from the global market down to the farm level. Widespread research questions, like the impact of the WTO negotiations on the farm structure, most often require comprehensive modeling frameworks. Thus, different types of models are utilized according to their comparative advantages and combined in a strategically useful way to more accurately represent micro and macro aspects of the food and agricultural sector. Consequently, in recent years we have seen an increase in the development and application of model linkages. Given this background, the overall objective of this subproject is a systematic sensitivity analysis of model linkages that gradually involves more and more characteristics of the linkage and the corresponding transfer of results between models. In addition, the project aims to answer the following specific question: How does structural change at the farm level influence aggregate supply and technical progress? Under which conditions is it possible to derive macro-relationships from micro-relationships? How does the aggregation level influence the model results and how can possible problems be overcome? This procedure is used to quantify the effects and to derive conditions for optimal interaction of the connected models. The analysis is based on the general equilibrium model GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project) and the farm group model FARMIS (Farm Modelling Information System) which are employed in conjunction to analyze the effects of WTO negotiations on the farm level.
Der Klimawandel und die Verstädterung führen weltweit zu einer Erwärmung der oberflächennahen Grundwasserleiter. Jene Veränderung der oberflächennahen Grundwassertemperaturen die in Deutschland nicht urban überprägt sind ist nur in wenigen Untersuchungen regional, aber nicht bundesweit dokumentiert. Im Vorhaben soll daher eine bundesweite Übersicht der oberflächennahen Grundwassertemperaturen und deren Veränderung während der vergangenen Dekaden anhand bundes- und landesweit vorliegender Daten erstellt werden. Erforderlich sind auch Projektionen/Modellierungen der Zunahme der Grundwassertemperatur aufgrund des Klimawandels bis zum Ende des Jahrhunderts, um rechtzeitig Anpassungsmaßnahmen zu ergreifen. Schwerer einzuschätzen als die Auswirkung des Klimawandels ist die Entwicklung im urbanen Raum durch unterirdische Bauwerke und den Einfluss oberflächennaher Geothermie und unterirdischer Wärmespeicher - der urbane Raum ist nicht Gegenstand des Vorhabens. Die Grundlage wird jedoch auch zur besseren Abschätzung urbaner Überprägung im Vergleich zum zur sich verändernden Ausgangslage dienen können. Die Folgen veränderter Grundwassertemperatur für die Grundwasserqualität und die Grundwasserökologie sowie die erbrachten Ökosystemdienstleistungen sind bislang nicht umfassend verstanden. Die Temperatursensitivität chemischer und biologischer Prozesse lässt vermuten, dass durch die derzeitige Erwärmung hervorgerufene Temperaturveränderungen einen Einfluss auf die Ökologie von Grundwasserleitern und die Zusammensetzung des Grundwassers selbst (z.B. durch verringertes Abbauverhalten, invasive Arten) haben. Auf der Grundlage der Projektionen sind Empfehlungen für Anpassungsmaßnahmen zu entwickeln.
We study the effects of plants and root-associated fungi on wind erosion within the alpine environment of Tibet. China is one of the countries most affected by desertification processes and Tibet, in particular, a key region in desertification combat. The presented project focuses on the Barkha Plain surrounded by Mount Kailash and the Lake of Manasarovar (Ngari Prefecture). This Western Tibet region experienced little scientific attention but, nowadays, faces rapidly increasing touristic activities and expanding local settlements associated with socio-economic changes that are serious threats to the delicate ecological balance and potential triggers of desertification. It exists almost unanimous agreement that revegetation is the most efficient and promising strategy to combat wind erosion and desertification in the long term. However, re-colonising success is often poor, mainly under extreme environmental conditions. Compared to conventional practices, the approach of the presented project attains better accordance with natural succession processes and promises acceleration of both plant and soil development and, conclusively, more efficient desertification control. The project assesses the potential of native plants and symbiotic fungi to control wind erosion and desertification processes. It aims to identify key plants and fungi that increase soil aggregate stability and efficiently drive succession into a natural and self-maintaining cycle of the ecosystem. Furthermore, it provides crucial information for implementing environmentally compatible and cost-effective measures to protect high-elevation ecosystems against desertification. Within three successional stages (early, intermediate, late), field investigations are performed on the basis of Modified-Whittaker plots. Classic methods of vegetation analysis and myco-sociology are combined with analysis of distribution patterns at different scales (patchiness, connectivity). Comprehensive soil analysis is performed comprising grain size distribution, aggregate stability, pH as well as water and nutrient contents. Additionally, important parameters of wind erosion are measured concurrently and continuously to assess their magnitude and variability with respect to vegetation and soil at different levels of development. The parameters addressed, include sediment transport, air temperature, radiation, precipitation, relative humidity as well as speed and direction of wind. Surface moisture is recorded periodically and roughness described. Species and environmental parameters are checked for spatial correlation. Cutting edge technologies are applied in laboratory work, comprising molecular methods for fungal species identification and micro-tomography to analyse soil structure. Furthermore, successfully cultivated fungi and plants are subject of synthesis experiments and industrial propagation in view of practical implementation in restoration measures.
Durum wheat is mainly grown as a summer crop. An introduction of a winter form failed until now due to the difficulty to combine winter hardiness with required process quality. Winter hardiness is a complex trait, but in most regions the frost tolerance is decisive. Thereby a major QTL, which was found in T. monococcum, T.aestivum, H. vulgare and S.cereale on chromosome 5, seems especially important. With genotyping by sequencing it is now possible to make association mapping based on very high dense marker maps, which delivers new possibilities to detect main and epistatic effects. Furthermore, new sequencing techniques allow candidate gene based association mapping. The main aim of the project is to unravel the genetic architecture of frost tolerance and quality traits in durum. Thereby, the objectives are to (1) determine the genetic variance, heritability and correlations among frost tolerance and quality traits, (2) examine linkage disequilibrium and population structure, (3) investigate sequence polymorphism at candidate genes for frost tolerance, and (4) perform candidate gene based and genome wide association mapping.
Im Rahmen des Forschungsvorhabens werden Untersuchungen zum Vorkommen der genannten Verbindungen und ihr Verhalten in der Nahrungskette (Carry Over von Futtermitteln fuer Milchtiere in die Milch u.ae.) durchgefuehrt.
The soil fauna affects soil structure, nutrient mineralization, decomposition processes, and the activity and composition of the microbial community in soil. These effects likely also modify plant performance, plant competition and the use of plant tissue by above-ground herbivores. The proposed project investigates effects of earthworms and soil insects on the above-ground system in grassland communities of different diversity. Earthworm and soil insect density is manipulated in experimental plots differing in plant diversity. The manipulations include the combined exclusion of below-ground insects and above-ground herbivores. It is expected that the response of the above-ground plant and animal community to manipulations of soil animal populations depends on plant species, plant diversity and plant functional group. The differential response is expected to propagate into the herbivore system thereby affecting the structure of the above-ground animal community.
On 18 Januar 1986 at the east-looking slope of the Kleiner Watzmann in the Berchtesgaden National Park a snow avalanche came down from an elevation of about 2.000 m to the Königssee near St. Bartholomae (610 m above see level). It destroyed 12 to 15 ha of old growth forests dominated by beech (Fagus sylvatica); about 2.000 m3 of wood were thrown down. The soil survace was not intensively effected by the snow avalange. Because the area is situated in the central protection zone of the national park no clearing procedure was done, and a free stand develeopment without any direct impact of man is allowed to take place. In 1989 permanent plots (3 transects, each starting in the surrounding forest and crossing to avalanche area) were established. Vegetation and stand structure records were carried out in 1989, 1994 and 1999. Vegetation development in the first place is characterised by (1) a re-establishment of the tree layer by the (beech) trees, which were bent to the ground but not killed by the avalanche, (2) by seedling and sapling establishment (especially Acer and Fraxinus, but not by pioneer trees) and (3) by continuing floristic composition of the ground vegetation (coverage increasing or decresing depending on the light conditions).
Bamboos (Poaceae) are widespread in tropical and subtropical forests. Particularly in Asia, bamboos are cultivated by smallholders and increasingly in large plantations. In contrast to trees, reliable assessments of water use characteristics for bamboo are very scarce. Recently we tested a set of methods for assessing bamboo water use and obtained first results. Objectives of the proposed project are (1) to further test and develop the methods, (2) to compare the water use of different bamboo species, (3) to analyze the water use to bamboo size relationship across species, and (4) to assess effects of bamboo culm density on the stand-level transpiration. The study shall be conducted in South China where bamboos are very abundant. It is planned to work in a common garden (method testing), a botanical garden (species comparison, water use to size relationship), and on-farm (effects of culm density). Method testing will include a variety of approaches (thermal dissipation probes, stem heat balance, deuterium tracing and gravimetry), whereas subsequent steps will be based on thermal methods. The results may contribute to an improved understanding of bamboo water use characteristics and a more appropriate management of bamboo with respect to water resources.
In Zeiten angespannter öffentlicher Haushalte wird verstärkt geprüft, ob Maßnahmen einer nachhaltigen Stadtentwicklungspolitik noch finanziell darstellbar oder aufschiebbar sind. Bei diesen Abwägungen gerät oftmals aus dem Blick, welche finanziellen Einsparungen sich aus Investitionen in z.B. einen verbesserten Zugang zu Grün- und Wasserflächen, nachhaltige Mobilität, eine Reduzierung der Luft- und Lärmverschmutzung, des Wasserverbrauchs, der Abfallproduktion sowie eine bessere Anpassung an die Folgen des Klimawandels ergeben. Maßnahmen nachhaltiger Stadtentwicklungspolitik werden oft als Kostenfaktor missverstanden und entsprechend depriorisiert. Dabei wird nicht ausreichend berücksichtigt, dass z.B. die Verfügbarkeit von Grünflächen einen erheblichen positiven Effekt auf die körperliche und mentale Gesundheit der Bevölkerung hat und damit erhebliche Kosten im Gesundheitssystem spart (vgl. dazu die BfN-Studie von Rittel et al., 2014). Das BMBF-gefördete Projekt 'Stadtgrün wertschätzen' hat bereits eine Reihe der Ökosystemleistungen von Stadtgrün quantifiziert, dessen Erkenntnisse einbezogen und um zusätzliche Aspekte wie Gesundheits- und Infrastrukturkosten erweitert werden sollten. Internationale Modellvorhaben (z.B. Barcelona) und Untersuchungen sollen ebenfalls Eingang finden mit dem Ziel, Politik und Verwaltung eine evidenz-basierte Grundlage für Investitionen in Maßnahmen nachhaltiger Stadtentwicklung zu verschaffen. Vor diesem Hintergrund verfolgt dieses Forschungsvorhaben das Ziel, die positiven Effekte unterschiedlicher Maßnahmen nachhaltiger Stadtentwicklungspolitik, national wie international, zu identifizieren und fiskalisch zu quantifizieren. Hierzu zählen z.B. Einsparungen aufgrund positiver mentaler und körperlicher Gesundheitseffekte, Kühlungseffekte durch Verschattung, CO2-Einsparungen durch Stadtgrün, Prävention von Schäden durch Extremwetter sowie Entlastungen öffentlicher Infrastruktur (z.B. der Kanalisation) durch Stadtgrün.
Changes in agroecosystem management (e.g. landscape diversity, management intensity) affect the natural control of pests. The effects of agricultural change on this ecosystem service, however, are not universal and the mechanisms affecting it remain to be understood. As biological control is effectively the product of networks of interactions between pests and their natural enemies, food web analysis provides a versatile tool to address this gap of knowledge. The proposed project will utilize a molecular food web approach and examine, for the first time, how changes in plant fertilisation and landscape complexity affect quantitative aphid-parasitoid-hyperparasitoid food webs on a species-specific level to unravel how changes in food web interactions affect parasitoid aphid control. Based on the fieldderived data, cage experiments will be conducted to assess how parasitoid diversity and identity affect parasitoid interactions and pest control, complementing the field results. The work proposed here will take research on parasitoid aphid control one step further, as it will provide a clearer understanding of how plant fertilization affects whole aphid-parasitoid food webs in both simple and complex landscapes, allowing for further improvements in natural pest control.
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