The agricultural sector has experienced substantial structural changes in the past and faces continuing adjustments in the future. The implications of structural change are not only relevant for the sector itself but have broader social, economic and environmental consequences for a region. An understanding of this process is required in order to assess how (agricultural-) policy affects or, if a specific social outcome is desired, can influence this development. A common approach to gain understanding of the process is to model structural change as a Markov process. One problem in the analysis of structural change in the EU is that farm level (micro) data is rarely available such that inference about behaviour of individual farms has to be derived from aggregated (macro) data. Recently, the generalized cross entropy estimator gained popularity in this context since it allows considering prior information such that the often underdetermined 'macro data' Markov models can be estimated. However, the way prior information is considered is also the greatest drawback of the approach. Therefore, the project aims to develop a Bayesian framework as an alternative estimator that allows to consider prior information in a more efficient and transparent way. The project will further provide an evaluation of the statistical properties of the estimator as well as an exemplifying application analyzing the effects of single farm payments on agricultural structural change in the EU.
Farm structures are often characterized by regional heterogeneity, agglomeration effects, sub-optimal farm sizes and income disparities. The main objective of this study is to analyze whether this is a result of path dependent structural change, what the determinants of path dependence are, and how it may be overcome. The focus is on the German dairy sector which has been highly regulated and subsidized in the past and faces severe structural deficits. The future of this sector in the process of an ongoing liberalization will be analyzed by applying theoretical concepts of path dependence and path breaking. In these regards, key issues are the actual situation, technological and market trends as well as agricultural policies. The methodology will be based on a participative use of the agent-based model AgriPoliS and participatory laboratory experiments. On the one hand, AgriPoliS will be tested as a tool for stakeholder oriented analysis of mechanisms, trends and policy effects. This part aims to analyze whether and how path dependence of structural change can be overcome on a sector level. In a second part, AgriPoliS will be extended such that human players (farmers, students) can take over the role of agents in the model. This part aims to compare human agents with computer agents in order to overcome single farm path dependence.
In freshwater sediments, iron oxidation is dominated by phototrophic and chemotrophic (aerobic and nitrate-reducing) Fe(ll)-oxidizing microorganisms. Although these biogeochemical processes have been investigated in detail in laboratory studies, not much is known about their spatial distribution, interactions (e.g. competition) amongst each other, as well as their response towards environmental perturbations (i.e. temperature, geochemical variations (nutrient, organic matter input)). This research proposal aims to investigate the activity, abundance and resource competition between different chemotrophic (aerobic and (autotrophic/mixotrophic) anaerobic nitrate-reducing) and phototrophic ironoxidizing microorganisms. In order to better understand the spatial distribution of nitrate-reducing iron oxidizing bacteria, microbial nitrate-producing and competing, nitrate-depletion processes will also be studied throughout the sedimentary redox gradient. In addition, the activity and abundance of the ironoxidizing processes will be quantified with (geo)microbiological, molecular and novel spectral imaging techniques. Using high resolution geochemical measurements (microsensors) we will characterize the environmental conditions these bacteria experience in order to determine the role of spatial and functional niche competition in microbial iron oxidation and the interconnection to the N-cycle. Iron mineral formation will be investigated as a function of the microbial spatial and temporal activity, depending on environmental perturbations. The proposed research study will strongly improve the understanding of iron cycling, the interconnection to the N-cycle, as well as interactions and competition between phototrophic and chemotrophic metabolisms in aquatic environments.
In dem beantragten Projekt werden neuartige filmbasierte Dämpfungsmechanismen auf der Grundlage von Formgedächtnislegierungen (FGL) untersucht, numerisch erfasst und validiert, die entweder den superelastischen Effekt (SE) oder den thermischen Formgedächtniseffekt (FGE) nutzen. Dies wird eine neue Generation von intelligenten miniaturisierten Dämpfungssystemen für portable oder mobile Anwendungen ermöglichen, die einen rausch- und ruckfreien Betrieb erlauben als auch zusätzliche Detektionsmechanismen aufgrund der starken Kopplung der thermischen, mechanischen und elektrischen Eigenschaften beinhalten. FGL-Materialien und Bauelemente weisen aufgrund einer Phasenumwandlung erster Ordnung eine nichtlineare Spannungs-Dehnungs-Antwort und Hysterese auf, welche eine zielgerichtete Optimierung und Kontrolle dissipativer Prozesse bei hohen Spannungs- und Dehnungswerten von 500 MPa und 5% erlaubt. Aufgrund des großen Verhältnisses von Oberfläche zu Volumen bei FGL Dünnfilmen ist einen schnelle Wärmeabfuhr mit Zeitkonstanten im Bereich von Millisekunden möglich. Ausgangsmaterialien sind Filme basierend auf TiNi, deren SE und FGE-Eigenschaften optimiert wurden. Die dissipativen Mechanismen darauf aufbauender Teststrukturen während zyklischer Belastung werden durch finite Elemente-Simulationen beschrieben, die auf einem Phasenfeldmodell beruhen, das Phasenumwandlung, Dehnungsänderung und Wärmeströme zeitaufgelöst beschreibt. Mehrere Generationen von Film-basierten FGL-Dämpfungselementen werden entwickelt und evaluiert, die auf passiven (SE) oder aktiven Mechanismen (FGE) oder Kombinationen daraus beruhen. Strategien zur Reduktion der Freiheitsgrade der aufgestellten Modelle (Model Order Reduction) werden getestet, um die Komplexität der Simulationen zu verringern. Zur Modellintegration auf der Systemebene sind Lumped Element Models vorgesehen. Ein miniaturisiertes Kameramodul wird als Demonstrator entwickelt, um die Effizienz der filmbasierten FGL-Dämpfungsmethoden und praktikable Kontrollalgorithmen für die Systemdynamik zu untersuchen. Zusätzliche Funktionalität wie intrinsische Temperatur- und Positionskontrolle werden ebenfalls berücksichtigt.
Magnetic properties of ferrimagnetic minerals depend on their crystal lattice, anisotropy, chemical composition and grain size. The latter parameter is strongly controlled by microstructures, which are significant for the interpretation of the magnetic properties of shocked magnetic minerals. Fracturing and lattice defects are the main causes for magnetic domain size reduction and generate an increase in coercivity and the suppression of magnetic transitions (e.g. 34 K transition in pyrrhotite, Verwey transition in magnetite).Especially for an adequate investigation of shock-induced modifications in ferromagnetic minerals, a combination of microstructural and magnetic measurements is therefore essential.This project focusses on two significant aspects of extreme conditions - the consequence of shock waves on natural material on Earth and on the magnetic mineralogy of exotic magnetic minerals in iron meteorites. In order to obtain general correlations between deformation structures and magnetic properties, the specific magnetic properties and carriers as well as microstructures of samples from two impact structures in marine targets (Lockne and Chesapeake Bay) will be compared with shocked magnetite ore and magnetite-bearing target lithologies from outside the crater (Lockne) as well as from undeformed megablocks within the crater (Chesapeake Bay). We will test the hypothesis if shock-related microstructures and associated magnetic properties can significantly be overprinted by postshock hydrothermal alteration. We especially want to focus on the Verwey transition (TV) as lower TVs are described for shocked impact lithologies. Hence, the main focus of this study lies on magneto-mineralogical investigations which combine low- and high-temperature magnetic susceptibility and saturation isothermal remanent magnetization with mineralogical and microstructural investigations. The same methods will then be used for the investigation of iron meteorites, whose magnetic properties are often controled by exotic magnetic minerals like cohenite, schreibersite and daubreelite in addition to the metal phases. Magnetic transition temperatures of those phases are poorly documented in relation to their chemical composition as well as to their crystallographic and microstructural configuration. For a general understanding of shock-related magnetization processes in extraterrestrial and terrestrial material, however, it is crucial to obtain a general correlation between the initial 'unshocked' state and the subsequent shock- and alteration-related overprints.
Especially during the last decades, the natural forests of Ethiopia have been heavily disturbed by human activities. Some forests have been totally cleared and converted into fields for agricultural use, other suffered from different influences, such as heavy grazing and selective logging. The ongoing research in the Shashemane-Munessa-study area (Gu 406/8-1,2) showed clearly that, in spite of interdiction and control, forests continue to be cleared and degraded. However, it is not yet sufficiently known, how and why these processes are still going on. Growing population pressure and economic constraints for the people living in and around the forests contribute to the actual situation but allow no final answers to the complex situation. Concerning a sustainable management of the forests there is to no solid basis for recommendations from the socioeconomic and socio-cultural view. Therefore, a comprehensive analysis of the traditional needs and forms of forest use, including all forest products, is necessary. The objective of this project is, to achieve this basis by carrying out intensive field observations, the consultation of aerial photographs, satellite imagery and above all semi-structured interviews with the population in the study area in order to contribute to the recommendations for a sustainable use of the Munessa Shasemane forests.
The biotrophic fungus Ustilago maydis infects corn and induces the formation of tumors. In order for the fungus to proliferate in the infected tissue, U. maydis has to redirect the metabolism of the host to the site of infection. We wish to elucidate how this is accomplished. To this end we will perform transcript profiling during the time course of infection for both, the fungus and the maize plant. This will be complemented by metabolome analysis of different tissues during infection as well as by apoplastic fluid analysis. The goals will be to identify the carbon sources taken up by the fungus during biotrophic growth, to identify the transporters required for uptake, determine their specificity and elucidate how these carbon sources are provided by the plant. Fungal mutants affected in discrete stages of pathogenic development will be included in these studies. Likely candidate genes for carbon uptake/supply as well as for redirecting host metabolism will be functionally characterized by generating knockouts in the fungus and by isolating plants carrying mutations in respective genes or by generating transgenic plants expressing RNAi constructs.
Comprehension of belowground competition between plant species is a central part in understanding the complex interactions in intercropped agricultural systems, between crops and weeds as well as in natural ecosystems. So far, no simple and rapid method for species discrimination of roots in the soil exists. We will be developing a method for root discrimination of various species based on Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR)-Attenuated Total Reflexion (ATR) Spectroscopy and expanding its application to the field. The absorbance patterns of FTIR-ATR spectra represent the chemical sample composition like an individual fingerprint. By means of multivariate methods, spectra will be grouped according to spectral and chemical similarity in order to achieve species discrimination. We will investigate pea and oat roots as well as maize and barnyard grass roots using various cultivars/proveniences grown in the greenhouse. Pea and oat are recommendable species for intercropping to achieve superior grain and protein yields in an environmentally sustainable manner. To evaluate the effects of intercropping on root distribution in the field, root segments will be measured directly at the soil profile wall using a mobile FTIR spectrometer. By extracting the main root compounds (lipids, proteins, carbohydrates) and recording their FTIR-ATR spectra as references, we will elucidate the chemical basis of species-specific differences.
Seit Juni 2014 ist der aktuelle Erlass zur 'Energetischen Vorbildfunktion von Bundesbauten' in Kraft. Darin werden Vorgaben für den Bundesbau zur Unterschreitung der Anforderungen aus der Energieeinsparverordnung 2013 gemacht. Mit Inkrafttreten der novellierten EnEV-Anforderungen am 1. Januar 2016 erhöhen sich die Anforderungen für neu zu errichtende Nichtwohngebäude. Will der Bund weiterhin seine Vorbildfunktion wahrnehmen, muss der EnEV-Erlass sinnvoll fortgeschrieben werden. Im Forschungsprojekt sollen dazu die Grundlagen erarbeitet werden. Ausgangslage: Seit Juni 2014 ist der aktuelle Erlass zur 'Energetischen Vorbildfunktion von Bundesbauten' (BI3-8133.2/3) in Kraft. Darin werden Vorgaben für den Bundesbau zur Unterschreitung der Anforderungen aus der Energieeinsparverordnung 2013 (EnEV 2013) gemacht. Mit dem Inkrafttreten der novellierten EnEV-Anforderungen am 1. Januar 2016 erhöhen sich die Anforderungen für neu zu errichtende Nichtwohngebäude. Will der Bund weiterhin seine Vorbildfunktion wahrnehmen, muss der EnEV-Erlass sinnvoll fortgeschrieben werden. Ziel: Bei der Fortschreibung des EnEV-Erlasses sind Anforderungen an die energetische Qualität von neu zu errichtenden Bundesbauten zu formulieren, die über die Anforderungen der EnEV 2016 hinausgehen. Auch im Zusammenhang mit der Anpassung und Weiterentwicklung des Bewertungssystems Nachhaltiges Bauen (BNB) ergeben sich Erfordernisse. Es muss auch hier überprüft werden, welche energetischen Ziele einerseits formuliert und andererseits mit angemessenem Aufwand realisiert werden können. Im Forschungsprojekt sollen dazu die Grundlagen erarbeitet werden, indem Wirtschaftlichkeitsuntersuchungen an geeigneten Referenzgebäuden durchgeführt werden.
k-tree sampling is frequently applied in ecological sampling; less so in forest inventory for the concern of unbiasedness. A design-unbiased estimator had recently been developed (Kleinn and Vilcko 2006), using inclusion zones that quantify the per-tree selection probability - but that are laborious to determine in the field (higher order Voronoi diagrams). That estimation approach shall be further developed in this project for restricted k-tree sampling; that is to the point-centered-quarter method and to the T-square sampling technique. New approaches are required, the higher order Voronoi diagrams do not apply. Also, we wish to clarify the following research questions for both unrestricted and restricted k-tree sampling:Can the selection probability be approximated by regressing them to easily measurable inter-tree distances at the sample point - How compares the unbiased estimator for restricted/unrestricted k-tree sampling to fixed area plots in terms of precision for different point patterns - Can tree mapping be optimized by an integrated field computing and measurement system - Theoretical analyses and simulation studies on real data will be carried and also field testing. The results will be equally important for forest inventory sampling and for ecological sampling.
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