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European Investment Bank - Water Management

BACKGROUND: The Kingdom of Jordan belongs to the ten water scarcest countries in the world, and climate change is likely to increase the frequency of future droughts. Jordan is considered among the 10 most water impoverished countries in the world, with per capita water availability estimated at 170 m per annum, compared to an average of 1,000 m per annum in other countries. Jordan Government has taken the strategic decision to develop a conveyor system including a 325 km pipe to pump 100 million cubic meters per year of potable water from Disi-Mudawwara close to the Saudi Border in the south, to the Greater Amman area in the north. The construction of the water pipeline has started end of 2009 and shall be finished in 2013. Later on, the pipeline could serve as a major part of a national water carrier in order to convey desalinated water from the Red Sea to the economically most important central region of the country. The conveyor project will not only significantly increase water supplies to the capital, but also provide for the re-allocation of current supplies to other governorates, and for the conservation of aquifers. In the context of the Disi project that is co-funded by EIB two Environmental and Social Management Plans have been prepared: one for the private project partners and one for the Jordan Government. The latter includes the Governments obligation to re-balance water allocations to irrigation and to gradually restore the protected wetlands of Azraq (Ramsar site) east of Amman that has been depleted due to over-abstraction by re-directing discharge of highland aquifers after the Disi pipeline becomes operational. The Water Strategy recognizes that groundwater extraction for irrigation is beyond acceptable limits. Since the source is finite and priority should be given to human consumption it proposes to tackle the demand for irrigation through tariff adjustments, improved irrigation technology and disincentive to water intensive crops. The Disi aquifer is currently used for irrigation by farms producing all kinds of fruits and vegetables on a large scale and exporting most of their products to the Saudi and European markets and it is almost a third of Jordan's total consumption. The licenses for that commercial irrigation were finished by 2011/12. Whilst the licenses will be not renewed the difficulty will be the enforcement and satellite based information become an important supporting tool for monitoring. OUTLOOK: The ESA funded project Water management had the objective to support the South-North conveyor project and the activities of EIB together with the MWI in Jordan to ensure the supply of water for the increasing demand. EO Information provides a baseline for land cover and elevation and support the monitoring of further stages. usw.

Improving the Livelihood of the Rural Population through the Production of Bushmeat in Ghana

Background: Ghanas transition forests, neighbouring savannahs and timber plantations in the Ashanti region face a constant degradation due to the increased occurrence of fires. In most cases the fires are deliberately set by rural people for hunting purposes. Main target is a cane rat, here called grasscutter (Thryonomys swinderianus), whose bushmeat is highly esteemed throughout the country. The animal is a wild herbivorous rodent of subhumid areas in Africa south of the Sahara. The grasscutter meat is an important source of animal protein. Existing high-value timber plantations (mainly Teak, Tectona grandis) are affected by fires for hunting purposes. Thus resulting in growth reduction, loss of biomass or even complete destruction of the forest stands. It became obvious that solutions had to be sought for the reduction of the fire risk. Objectives: Since 2004 the Institute for World Forestry of the Federal Research Centre for Forestry and Forest Products, Hamburg, Germany is cooperating with a Ghanaian timber plantation company (DuPaul Wood Treatment Ltd.) the German Foundation for Forest Conservation in Africa (Stiftung Walderhaltung in Afrika) and the Center for International Migration with the purpose to improve the livelihood of the rural population in the surroundings of the forest plantation sites and simultaneously to safeguard and improve the timber plantations. The introduction of grasscutter rearing systems to local farmers accompanied by permanent agricultural and agroforestry practices appeared to be a promising approach for the prevention of fires in the susceptible areas. Additionally a functioning grasscutter breeding system could contribute to the improvement of food security, development of income sources and the alleviation of poverty. The following measures are implemented: - Identification of farmers interested in grasscutter captive breeding, - Implementation of training courses for farmers on grasscutter rearing, - Delivery of breeding animals, - Supervision of rearing conditions by project staff, - Development of a local extension service for monitoring activities, - Evaluation of structures for grasscutter meat marketing. Results: After identification of key persons for animal rearing training courses were successfully passed and animals were delivered subsequently. Further investigations will evaluate the effects of the grasscutter rearing in the project region. This will be assessed through the - Acceptance of grasscutter rearing by farmers, - Success of the animal caging, - Reproduction rate, - Meat quality, - Marketing success of meat, - Reduction of fire in the vicinity of the timber plantations, - Improvement of peoples livelihood.

Flood risk in a changing climate (CEDIM)

Aims: Floods in small and medium-sized river catchments have often been a focus of attention in the past. In contrast to large rivers like the Rhine, the Elbe or the Danube, discharge can increase very rapidly in such catchments; we are thus confronted with a high damage potential combined with almost no time for advance warning. Since the heavy precipitation events causing such floods are often spatially very limited, they are difficult to forecast; long-term provision is therefore an important task, which makes it necessary to identify vulnerable regions and to develop prevention measures. For that purpose, one needs to know how the frequency and the intensity of floods will develop in the future, especially in the near future, i.e. the next few decades. Besides providing such prognoses, an important goal of this project was also to quantify their uncertainty. Method: These questions were studied by a team of meteorologists and hydrologists from KIT and GFZ. They simulated the natural chain 'large-scale weather - regional precipitation - catchment discharge' by a model chain 'global climate model (GCM) - regional climate model (RCM) - hydrological model (HM)'. As a novel feature, we performed so-called ensemble simulations in order to estimate the range of possible results, i.e. the uncertainty: we used two GCMs with different realizations, two RCMs and three HMs. The ensemble method, which is quite standard in physics, engineering and recently also in weather forecasting has hitherto rarely been used in regional climate modeling due to the very high computational demands. In our study, the demand was even higher due to the high spatial resolution (7 km by 7 km) we used; presently, regional studies use considerably larger grid boxes of about 100 km2. However, our study shows that a high resolution is necessary for a realistic simulation of the small-scale rainfall patterns and intensities. This combination of high resolution and an ensemble using results from global, regional and hydrological models is unique. Results: By way of example, we considered the low-mountain range rivers Mulde and Ruhr and the more alpine Ammer river in this study, all of which had severe flood events in the past. Our study confirms that heavy precipitation events will occur more frequently in the future. Does this also entail an increased flood risk? Our results indicate that in any case, the risk will not decrease. However, each catchment reacts differently, and different models may produce different precipitation and runoff regimes, emphasizing the need of ensemble studies. A statistically significant increase of floods is expected for the river Ruhr in winter and in summer. For the river Mulde, we observe a slight increase of floods during summer and autumn, and for the river Ammer a slight decrease in summer and a slight increase in winter.

Visualisierung mikrobieller Gemeinschaften auf marinem Mikroplastik: Identifikation, Interaktionen und Auswirkungen

Marines Mikroplastik (MMP) ist eine zunehmende anthropogene Verschmutzung in den Meeren. Der Einfluss auf marine Tiere, durch Verfangen und verschlucken von Plastikmüll, ist bekannt. Aber der Einfluss von MMP auf Mikroorganismen, wie Bakterien, Archaeen und Protisten, die die Basis der Nahrungsnetze bilden, ist kaum verstanden. Auf Grund der besonderen Eigenschaften von MMP, kann es als neues Habitat und als Transportmittel für bestimmte u.a. auch gesundheitsgefährdende Mikroorganismen dienen, die über lange Distanzen bis in entlegene Regionen transportiert werden können. Darüber hinaus kann MMP das Zusammenleben von Mikroorganismen in enger Nachbarschaft ermöglichen und die Stoffwechselwege vieler verschiedener Verbindungen beeinflussen. Um den Einfluss von MMP und ihrer assoziierten Mikroorgansimen auf marine Ökosysteme zu verstehen, müssen wir die Zusammensetzung und Interaktionen von mikrobiellen Gemeinschaften auf MMP identifizieren und ihre globale Ausbreitung untersuchen. Ich möchte die Diversität und die räumliche Verteilung von mikrobiellen Gemeinschaften auf MMP charakterisieren. Proben von MMP wurde bereits von meinem Gastinstitut in verschiedenen Meeresregionen (Atlantik, Pazifik, Indischer Ozean) gesammelt. Mein Ziel ist es: 1) zu identifizieren, welche Mikroorganismen auf MMP vorkommen; 2) die lokale Verteilung und Struktur der mikrobiellen Gemeinschaft auf MMP und in Experimenten auf Bioplastikpartikeln zu untersuchen; 3) zu verstehen, welche Mikroorganismen am stärksten mit der Polymer Oberfläche assoziiert sind; 4) herauszufinden, ob es charakteristische Mikrobiome auf MMP in verschiedenen Meeresregionen gibt und 5) zu untersuchen, welche Mikroorganismen MMP abbauen können. Die Chancen für die erfolgreiche Durchführung des vorgeschlagenen Projekts ist hoch, da präperierte Proben bereits in meinem Gastlabor vorhanden sind, an denen die innovative Mikroskopiertechnik namens CLASIFISH (Combinatorial Labelling and Spectral Imaging Fluorescence In Situ Hybridization) angewandt werden kann. Diese Methode ermöglicht es viele verschiedene Mikroorganismen und ihre räumliche Verteilung auf einem Plastikpartikel schnell und präzise zu identifizieren. Ich möchte diese Methode an Proben aus dem Atlantik und Pazifik anwenden, sowie Mikroben identifizieren, die im offenen Ozean Plastik abbauen. Zusätzlich möchte ich Inkubationsexperimente mit Bakterienkulturen, die bereits auf Plastik identifiziert wurden und in meinem Gastinstitut zur Verfügung stehen, auf Bioplastikpartikeln durchführen. Mit diesen Experimenten möchte ich herausfinden, wie sich mikrobielle Gemeinschaften auf Bioplastik über die Zeit entwickeln und ob bzw. wie diese Mikroben Plastik abbauen. Für diese Inkubationsexperimente möchte ich FISH, CLASIFISH, scanning electron microscopy sowie metagenomische und metatranscriptomische Ansätze verwenden.

Analyse langfristiger Änderungen in der Tidedynamik der Nordsee

Langjährige Pegelaufzeichnungen aus dem Gebiet der südöstlichen Nordsee zeigen seit Mitte des 20. Jahrhunderts signifikante Veränderungen im lokalen Tideregime. Während der mittlere Meeresspiegel (englisch: Mean Sea Level, MSL) über die vergangenen 150 Jahre generell dem globalen Mittel gefolgt ist, deuten Auswertungen der mittleren Tidehoch- und Tideniedrigwasser auf signifikant abweichende Trends hin. So sind die Tidehochwasser signifikant schneller als der MSL angestiegen, während die Tideniedrigwasser deutlich geringere oder teils negative Trends aufzeigen. Daraus resultierte eine gleichzeitige Zunahme des Tidehubs (die Differenz aus Tidehoch- und Tideniedrigwasser) von ca. 10 % seit 1955. Derartige Veränderungen haben direkte Auswirkungen auf den Küstenschutz. So ergeben sich bei einem Anstieg der mittleren Tidehochwasser größere Wassertiefen, wodurch das Wellenklima insbesondere im Bereich der Wattflächen und Außensände in der Deutschen Bucht beeinflusst wird. Größere Wellenhöhen und damit höhere Orbitalgeschwindigkeiten und Brandungsenergien sind die unmittelbare Folge, die zu großflächigen Erosionen führen kann. Gleichzeitig beeinflussen geringere Tideniedrigwasser die Schiffbarkeit der flachen Küstengewässer. Durch den vergrößerten Tidehub treten größere Tidestromgeschwindigkeiten auf, die z.B. Ausräumungen der Tiderinnen, verstärkte Erosionen an Inselsockeln, Strandräumungen und im Zusammenhang mit Sturmfluten Dünen- und Kliffabbrüchen verursachen können. Dies verdeutlicht, dass neben den global wirkenden übergeordneten Veränderungen im MSL (Massenänderungen, thermale Expansion) auch regionale Phänomene und Prozesse eine wichtige Rolle für die Ausprägung der Wasserstände spielen. Eine Berücksichtigung solcher Faktoren in den Projektionen zukünftiger Wasserstände setzt voraus, dass vergangene Entwicklungen und zugrunde liegende Prozesse ausreichend verstanden sind. Das übergeordnete Ziel von TIDEDYN besteht daher in der Analyse der in der Vergangenheit bereits aufgetreten Veränderungen im lokalen Tideregime der Nordsee. Die beobachtete Zunahme des Tidehubs ist in ihrer starken Ausprägung ein weltweit einzigartiges Phänomen, welches bis heute nicht erklärt werden kann. Als mögliche (aber bisher unerforschte) Ursachen kommen z.B. langfristige Änderungen im MSL, morphologische Änderungen im Küstenvorfeld (natürlich oder anthropogen, z.B. Ausbaggerungen oder Baumaßnahmen wie Eindeichungen) oder saisonale Änderungen in der thermohalinen Schichtung des Ozeans in Frage. Durch die integrierte Analyse von hochauflösenden numerischen Modellen (barotrop und baroklin) und Beobachtungsdaten mit robusten Methoden der Zeitreihenanalyse, sollen die Änderungen im Tideregime der Nordsee über die vergangen 60-70 Jahre beschrieben, modelliert und systematisch erforscht werden sowie einzelne Prozesse mittels Sensitivitätsstudien voneinander abgegrenzt werden.

Indonesian Throughflow variability on sub-orbital timescales during Marine Isotopes Stages (MIS) 2 and 3

This project will provide quantitative estimates of the flow of low-salinity warm water through the Indonesian Gateway on suborbital timescales during MIS 2 and 3 (focusing on Dansgaard Oeschger (D-O) oscillations) and will assess the Indonesian Throughflow (ITF) s impact on the hydrography of the eastern Indian Ocean and global thermohaline circulation during this critical interval of high climate variability. ITF fluctuations, associated with sea level change, temperature and salinity variations in the West Pacific Warm Pool (WPWP) strongly influence precipitation over Australia, the strength of the southeast-Asian summer monsoon, and the intensity of warm meridional currents in the Indian Ocean. We will test the hypothesis that increased ITF is associated with warm interstadials of MIS 3, whereas a strong reduction in ITF occurred during stadials. We will use as main proxies planktonic and benthic foraminiferal isotopes in conjunction with Mg/Ca temperature estimates and radiogenic isotopes (mainly Nd) as tracers of Pacific water masses along depth transects in the Timor Passage and the eastern Indian Ocean. This project will provide the paleoceanographic framework that will be crucial to validate and refine circulation models of D-O events and high-frequency climate variability on a global scale.

Impact of long-term exposure to elevated pCO2 on activity and populations of free living N2 fixing organisms in a temperate grassland system

The project aims at achieving a better understanding of the processes that drive or limit the response of grassland systems in a world of increasing atmospheric pCO2. We will test the hypothesis that the previously shown increase in below-ground allocation of C under elevated pCO2 provides the necessary energy excess and will stimulate free-living N2 fixers in a low N grassland environment. The project thus aims at assessing the occurrence and importance of free-living N2 fixers under elevated pCO2 and identify the associated microbial communities involved in order to better understand ecosystems response and sustainability of grassland systems. This project had the last opportunity to obtain soil samples from a grassland ecosystem adapted to long-term (10 year) elevated atmospheric pCO2 as the Swiss FACE experiment. The project aims to identify the relevant components of free-living diazotrophs of the microbial community using 15N stable isotope - DNA probing.

Soil colour spectra of prehistoric pit fillings as a new analytical tool to measure changing soil characteristics over time on a regional scale

Prehistoric pits are filled with ancient topsoil material, which has been preserved there over millennia. A characteristic of these pit fillings is that their colour is different depending on the time the soil material was relocated. Soil colour is the result of soil forming processes and soil properties, and it could therefore indicate the soil characteristics present during that specific period. To the best of our knowledge, no investigation analysed and explained the reasons for these soil colour changes over time. The proposed project will investigate soil parameters from pit fillings of different archaeological periods in the loess area of the Lower Rhine Basin (NW-Germany). It aims to implement the measurement of colour spectra as a novel analytical tool for the rapid analyses of a high number of soil samples: the main goal is to relate highresolution colour data measured by a spectrophotometer to soil parameters that were analysed by conventional pedogenic methods and by mid infrared spectroscopy (MIRS), with a main focus on charred organic matter (BPCAs). This tool would enable us to quantify the variation of soil properties over a timescale of several millennia, during different prehistoric periods at regional scale and for loess soils in general. Detailed information concerning changing soil properties on a regional scale is necessary to determine past soil quality and it helps to increase our understanding of prehistoric soil cultivation practices. Furthermore, these information could also help to increase our understanding about agricultural systems in different archaeological periods.

IANB-Monitoring BL: IANB = Inventar der Amphibienlaichgebiete von nationaler Bedeutung, BL = Kanton Basel-Landschaft

Überwachung der Bestandesgrösse ausgewählter Amphibienarten durch Fangwiederfang. Nachweis aller anderen Amphibienarten auf dem Niveau Präsenzabsenz. Die überwachten Objekte sind Amphibienlaichgebiete von nationaler Bedeutung.

Inklusives und integriertes multi-Gefahren Risikomanagement und Freiwilligenengagement zur Erhöhung sozialer Resilienz im Klimawandel, Teilvorhaben: Wissenstransfer für Integriertes Katastrophenrisikomanagement und Steigerung der Resilienz (Transfer of Knowledge - ToK)

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