Aims: Floods in small and medium-sized river catchments have often been a focus of attention in the past. In contrast to large rivers like the Rhine, the Elbe or the Danube, discharge can increase very rapidly in such catchments; we are thus confronted with a high damage potential combined with almost no time for advance warning. Since the heavy precipitation events causing such floods are often spatially very limited, they are difficult to forecast; long-term provision is therefore an important task, which makes it necessary to identify vulnerable regions and to develop prevention measures. For that purpose, one needs to know how the frequency and the intensity of floods will develop in the future, especially in the near future, i.e. the next few decades. Besides providing such prognoses, an important goal of this project was also to quantify their uncertainty. Method: These questions were studied by a team of meteorologists and hydrologists from KIT and GFZ. They simulated the natural chain 'large-scale weather - regional precipitation - catchment discharge' by a model chain 'global climate model (GCM) - regional climate model (RCM) - hydrological model (HM)'. As a novel feature, we performed so-called ensemble simulations in order to estimate the range of possible results, i.e. the uncertainty: we used two GCMs with different realizations, two RCMs and three HMs. The ensemble method, which is quite standard in physics, engineering and recently also in weather forecasting has hitherto rarely been used in regional climate modeling due to the very high computational demands. In our study, the demand was even higher due to the high spatial resolution (7 km by 7 km) we used; presently, regional studies use considerably larger grid boxes of about 100 km2. However, our study shows that a high resolution is necessary for a realistic simulation of the small-scale rainfall patterns and intensities. This combination of high resolution and an ensemble using results from global, regional and hydrological models is unique. Results: By way of example, we considered the low-mountain range rivers Mulde and Ruhr and the more alpine Ammer river in this study, all of which had severe flood events in the past. Our study confirms that heavy precipitation events will occur more frequently in the future. Does this also entail an increased flood risk? Our results indicate that in any case, the risk will not decrease. However, each catchment reacts differently, and different models may produce different precipitation and runoff regimes, emphasizing the need of ensemble studies. A statistically significant increase of floods is expected for the river Ruhr in winter and in summer. For the river Mulde, we observe a slight increase of floods during summer and autumn, and for the river Ammer a slight decrease in summer and a slight increase in winter.
Das Südchinesische Meer ist das größte Randmeer der Erde und ausschließlich von stark besiedelten Ländern wie China, Indonesien, Philippinen oder Vietnam umgeben. Klimaänderung und menschliche Einflüsse im Einzugsgebiet des Mekong (18 geplante Stauseen zu Stromgewinnung und Intensivierung der Aquakultur) werden die Flusseinträge drastisch verändern und in der Folge die Biogeochemie der Küstengewässer. Die Geschwindigkeit und Größenordnung dieser Veränderungen lassen es wahrscheinlich erscheinen, dass das hier geplante Feldprogramm eine der wenigen Gelegenheiten sein wird, dieses Meeresgebiet zu erfassen, bevor es sich grundlegend verändert hat. Die gegenwärtige Rolle der Nährstoffeinträge des Mekong für die Produktivität des Südchinesischen Meeres soll im Vergleich zu den Nährstoffeinträgen durch den Auftrieb während des SW Monsuns untersucht werden. Ergebnisse früherer Arbeiten von uns lassen vermuten, dass die Stickstofffixierung von Cyanobakterien, die in Symbiose mit Diatomeen vorkommen, eine zentrale Rolle spielt. Zudem gibt es einzellige und koloniebildende N-Fixierer wie Trichodesmium in der Flussfahne. Die Interaktion von stickstofffixierenden Organismen, die von den Einträgen des Mekong abzuhängen scheinen, ist bislang nicht verstanden und steht im Fokus dieses Projektes. Die Nährstoffzusammensetzung in Wasser und die Aufnahme von markierten Kohlenstoff und Stickstoffverbindungen wird in der Flussfahne und im Auftriebsgebiet quantifiziert. Zudem wird auf Zellebene der Austausch von Stickstoff und Kohlenstoff zwischen Diatomeen und ihren stickstofffixierenden Symbionten mittels NanoSIMS analysiert. Zeitgleich wird die Gemeinschaft der Stickstofffixierer entlang der Flussfahne und im offenen südchinesischen Meer von amerikanischen und vietnamesischen Kollegen durch genomische, molekularbiologische und taxonomische Methoden erfasst. In der Synthesephase des Projektes soll durch die Zusammenführung aller Ergebnisse ein tiefgreifendes Verständnis des menschlichen Einflusses auf die Biogeochemie des Küstenmeeres vor Vietnam erreicht werden. Zwei Expeditionen in das Gebiet des Mekongausstroms sind bereits durch einen genehmigten Antrag des Schmidts Oceanographic Institute aus den USA abgesichert, so dass Probennahmen und Experimente an Board geplant werden können. Aufgrund des früheren, sehr erfolgreichen DFG finanzierten Vorhabens bestehen enge Kontakte zum Institute of Oceanography in Nha Trang, Vietnam, auf die hier aufgebaut wird.
Marines Mikroplastik (MMP) ist eine zunehmende anthropogene Verschmutzung in den Meeren. Der Einfluss auf marine Tiere, durch Verfangen und verschlucken von Plastikmüll, ist bekannt. Aber der Einfluss von MMP auf Mikroorganismen, wie Bakterien, Archaeen und Protisten, die die Basis der Nahrungsnetze bilden, ist kaum verstanden. Auf Grund der besonderen Eigenschaften von MMP, kann es als neues Habitat und als Transportmittel für bestimmte u.a. auch gesundheitsgefährdende Mikroorganismen dienen, die über lange Distanzen bis in entlegene Regionen transportiert werden können. Darüber hinaus kann MMP das Zusammenleben von Mikroorganismen in enger Nachbarschaft ermöglichen und die Stoffwechselwege vieler verschiedener Verbindungen beeinflussen. Um den Einfluss von MMP und ihrer assoziierten Mikroorgansimen auf marine Ökosysteme zu verstehen, müssen wir die Zusammensetzung und Interaktionen von mikrobiellen Gemeinschaften auf MMP identifizieren und ihre globale Ausbreitung untersuchen. Ich möchte die Diversität und die räumliche Verteilung von mikrobiellen Gemeinschaften auf MMP charakterisieren. Proben von MMP wurde bereits von meinem Gastinstitut in verschiedenen Meeresregionen (Atlantik, Pazifik, Indischer Ozean) gesammelt. Mein Ziel ist es: 1) zu identifizieren, welche Mikroorganismen auf MMP vorkommen; 2) die lokale Verteilung und Struktur der mikrobiellen Gemeinschaft auf MMP und in Experimenten auf Bioplastikpartikeln zu untersuchen; 3) zu verstehen, welche Mikroorganismen am stärksten mit der Polymer Oberfläche assoziiert sind; 4) herauszufinden, ob es charakteristische Mikrobiome auf MMP in verschiedenen Meeresregionen gibt und 5) zu untersuchen, welche Mikroorganismen MMP abbauen können. Die Chancen für die erfolgreiche Durchführung des vorgeschlagenen Projekts ist hoch, da präperierte Proben bereits in meinem Gastlabor vorhanden sind, an denen die innovative Mikroskopiertechnik namens CLASIFISH (Combinatorial Labelling and Spectral Imaging Fluorescence In Situ Hybridization) angewandt werden kann. Diese Methode ermöglicht es viele verschiedene Mikroorganismen und ihre räumliche Verteilung auf einem Plastikpartikel schnell und präzise zu identifizieren. Ich möchte diese Methode an Proben aus dem Atlantik und Pazifik anwenden, sowie Mikroben identifizieren, die im offenen Ozean Plastik abbauen. Zusätzlich möchte ich Inkubationsexperimente mit Bakterienkulturen, die bereits auf Plastik identifiziert wurden und in meinem Gastinstitut zur Verfügung stehen, auf Bioplastikpartikeln durchführen. Mit diesen Experimenten möchte ich herausfinden, wie sich mikrobielle Gemeinschaften auf Bioplastik über die Zeit entwickeln und ob bzw. wie diese Mikroben Plastik abbauen. Für diese Inkubationsexperimente möchte ich FISH, CLASIFISH, scanning electron microscopy sowie metagenomische und metatranscriptomische Ansätze verwenden.
Background: Ghanas transition forests, neighbouring savannahs and timber plantations in the Ashanti region face a constant degradation due to the increased occurrence of fires. In most cases the fires are deliberately set by rural people for hunting purposes. Main target is a cane rat, here called grasscutter (Thryonomys swinderianus), whose bushmeat is highly esteemed throughout the country. The animal is a wild herbivorous rodent of subhumid areas in Africa south of the Sahara. The grasscutter meat is an important source of animal protein. Existing high-value timber plantations (mainly Teak, Tectona grandis) are affected by fires for hunting purposes. Thus resulting in growth reduction, loss of biomass or even complete destruction of the forest stands. It became obvious that solutions had to be sought for the reduction of the fire risk. Objectives: Since 2004 the Institute for World Forestry of the Federal Research Centre for Forestry and Forest Products, Hamburg, Germany is cooperating with a Ghanaian timber plantation company (DuPaul Wood Treatment Ltd.) the German Foundation for Forest Conservation in Africa (Stiftung Walderhaltung in Afrika) and the Center for International Migration with the purpose to improve the livelihood of the rural population in the surroundings of the forest plantation sites and simultaneously to safeguard and improve the timber plantations. The introduction of grasscutter rearing systems to local farmers accompanied by permanent agricultural and agroforestry practices appeared to be a promising approach for the prevention of fires in the susceptible areas. Additionally a functioning grasscutter breeding system could contribute to the improvement of food security, development of income sources and the alleviation of poverty. The following measures are implemented: - Identification of farmers interested in grasscutter captive breeding, - Implementation of training courses for farmers on grasscutter rearing, - Delivery of breeding animals, - Supervision of rearing conditions by project staff, - Development of a local extension service for monitoring activities, - Evaluation of structures for grasscutter meat marketing. Results: After identification of key persons for animal rearing training courses were successfully passed and animals were delivered subsequently. Further investigations will evaluate the effects of the grasscutter rearing in the project region. This will be assessed through the - Acceptance of grasscutter rearing by farmers, - Success of the animal caging, - Reproduction rate, - Meat quality, - Marketing success of meat, - Reduction of fire in the vicinity of the timber plantations, - Improvement of peoples livelihood.
The increasing proportion of carbon fibre reinforced plastics (CFRP) in different branches of industry will result in an increasingly larger quantity of CFRP wastes in future. With regard to improved management of natural resources, it is necessary to add these fibres that require energy-intensive production to effective recycling management. But high-quality material recycling is only ecoefficient if the recycled fibres can be used to produce new high-quality and marketable products. Tests carried out up to now indicate that very good results can be expected for large-scale recycling of carbon fibres by means of pyrolysis. The waste pyrolysis plant (WPP) operated in Burgau is the only large-scale pyrolysis plant for municipal wastes in Germany. Use of this plant to treat CFRP wastes represents a unique opportunity for the whole Southern German economy and in particular the Augsburg economic region. In a study funded by the Bavarian State Ministry of the Environment and Health ('Bayerisches Staatsministerium für Umwelt und Gesundheit'), the specific implementation options for the recovery of carbon fibres from composites by means of large-scale pyrolysis have been under investigation since November 2010. To this end, in the first step a development study was carried out, which in particular examined the options for modifying the Burgau WPP for the recycling of CFRP. The knowledge acquired from the pyrolysis tests, the fibre tests and the economic feasibility study confirmed the positive assessment of the overall concept of CFRP recycling in Burgau. As an overall result, unlimited profitability was found for all scenarios with regard to investments in CFRP recycling in Burgau WPP. The work on the development study was carried out by bifa Umweltinstitut GmbH together with the Augsburg-based 'function integrated lightweight construction project group ('Funktionsintegrierter Leichtbau' - FIL) of the Fraunhofer Institute for Chemical Technology (ICT). Methods: analysis and moderation of social processes, economy and management consulting, process engineering
Most soils develop distinct soil architecture during pedogenesis and soil organic carbon (SOC) is sequestered within a hierarchical system of mineral-organic associations and aggregates. Permafrost soils store large amounts of carbon due to their permanently frozen subsoil and a lack of oxygen in the active layer, but they lack complex soil structure. With permafrost thaw more oxidative conditions and increasing soil temperature presumably enhance the build-up of more complex units of soil architecture and may counterbalance, at least partly, SOC mineralization. We aim to explore the development of mineral-organic associations and aggregates under different permafrost impact with respect to SOC stabilization. This information will be linked to environmental control factors relevant for SOC turnover at the pedon and stand scale to bridge processes occurring at the aggregate scale to larger spatial dimensions. We will combine in situ spectroscopic techniques with fractionation approaches and identify mechanisms relevant for SOC turnover at different scales by multivariate statistics and variogram analyses. From this we expect a deeper knowledge about soil architecture formation in the transition of permafrost soils to terrestrial soils and a scale-spanning mechanistic understanding of SOC cycling in permafrost regions.
The geomagnetic field shields our habitat against solar wind and radiation from space. Due to the geometry of the field, the shielding in general is weakest at high latitudes. It is also anomalously weak in a region around the south Atlantic known as South Atlantic Anomaly (SAA), and the global dipole moment has been decreasing by nearly 10 percent since direct measurements of field intensity became possible in 1832. Due to our limited understanding of the geodynamo processes in Earths core, it is impossible to reliably predict the future evolution of both dipole moment and SAA over the coming decades. However, lack of magnetic field shielding as would be a consequence of further weakening of dipole moment and SAA region field intensity would cause increasing problems for modern technology, in particular satellites, which are vulnerable to radiation damage. A better understanding of the underlying processes is required to estimate the future development of magnetic field characteristics. The study of the past evolution of such characteristics based on historical, archeo- and paleomagnetic data, on time-scales of centuries to millennia, is essential to detect any recurrences and periodicities and provide new insights in dynamo processes in comparison to or in combination with numerical dynamo simulations. We propose to develop two new global spherical harmonic geomagnetic field models, spanning 1 and 10 kyrs, respectively, and designed in particular to study how long the uninterrupted decay of the dipole moment has been going on prior to 1832, and if the SAA is a recurring structure of the field.We will combine for the first time all available historical and archeomagnetic data, both directions and intensities, in a spherical harmonic model spanning the past 1000 years. Existing modelling methods will be adapted accordingly, and existing data bases will be complemented with newly published data. We will further acquire some new archeomagnetic data from the Cape Verde islands from historical times to better constrain the early evolution of the present-day SAA. In order to study the long-term field evolution and possible recurrences of similar weak field structures in this region, we will produce new paleomagnetic records from available marine sediment cores off the coasts of West Africa, Brazil and Chile. This region is weakly constrained in previous millennial scale models. Apart from our main aim to gain better insights into the previous evolution of dipole moment and SAA, the models will be used to study relations between dipole and non-dipole field contributions, hemispheric symmetries and large-scale flux patterns at the core-mantle boundary. These observational findings will provide new insights into geodynamo processes when compared with numerical dynamo simulation results.Moreover, the models can be used to estimate past geomagnetic shielding above Earths surface against solar wind and for nuclide production from galactic cosmic rays.
When released into surface waters, engineered inorganic nanoparticles (EINP) can be subject to multiple transformations. The objectives of MASK are to understand under which conditions EINP in aquatic systems will attach to suspended matter, under which conditions and in which time scale EINP are coated by NOM present in freshwater systems, how these coated colloidal particles are stabilized in the aquatic system and to which extent the aquatic aging processes are reversible. Homo-aggregation, coating changes, biological interactions and hetero-aggregation are hypothesized as key processes governing EINP aging in water bodies. In process orientated laboratory incubation experiments (50 ml to 6 l) with increasing complexity, MASK unravels the relevance and the interplay of inorganic colloids, aquagenic and pedogenic organic matter and solution physicochemistry for stability of EINP. These systems will successively approach situations in real waters. MASK thus provides information on EINP fluxes in the aquatic compartment, their time scales, reversibility and relative relevance. EINP will be analysed by standard light scattering techniques, ICP-MS, ESEM/EDX, WetSTEM and AFM. A method coupling hydrodynamic radius chromatography (HDC) with ICPMS recently developed by K. Tiede for nAg0 will be optimized and developed for further EINP analysis, MASK is further responsible for the virtual subproject ANALYSIS, the development and optimization of joint research unit methods of EINP analysis, sample preparation and sample storage, the exchange of methods and coordinates the joint analyses and the central EINP database.
In Kuehlschmierstoffen aller Typen vermehren sich Bakterien und Pilze bis zu Koloniezahlen von 10exp(6) bis 10exp(8)/ml. Darmbakterien sowie Entzuendungserreger koennen in Mengen bis zu 10exp(5)/ml vorkommen. Systematische Untersuchungen auf die genannten Erreger fehlen ebenso bisher wie Kenntnisse ueber deren Vermehrungsbedingungen, z.B. in Abhaengigkeit vom Alter der Emulsionen.