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H2020-EU.3.5. - Societal Challenges - Climate action, Environment, Resource Efficiency and Raw Materials - (H2020-EU.3.5. - Gesellschaftliche Herausforderungen - Klimaschutz, Umwelt, Ressourceneffizienz und Rohstoffe), Constraining uncertainty of multi decadal climate projections (CONSTRAIN)

CONSTRAIN will focus research on three climate science knowledge gaps and a policy-facing knowledge gap that can be resolved over the next 4-5 years to significantly improve our understanding of how natural and human factors affect multi-decadal regional climate change. This will cement EU science as the world-leader in understanding climate sensitivity and climate variability, deliver significantly improved capability to make climate projections for the next 20-50 years, and provide up-to-date scientific evidence for international climate policy in two phases: Phase 1 will deliver a timely characterisation of physical science uncertainty and how it affects projections and committed levels of warming to the 2021 IPCC sixth assessment report; Phase 2 will deliver constrained surface temperature projections for the 2023 UNFCCC Global Stocktake. CONSTRAIN will take full advantage of climate model integrations from the sixth Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and will leverage existing H2020 and ERC projects. Novel CMIP6 analyses will be combined with dedicated high resolution simulations and new observations to address identified knowledge gaps on radiative forcing, cloud feedbacks and the relationship between ocean variability and atmospheric change. A fourth identified knowledge gap is the effective translation of new physical science understanding into an improved evidence base for policy decisions. CONSTRAIN will address this by developing climate model emulators that integrate and operationalise learning from across the consortium to provide new capability to assess impacts of climate change under a broad range of emission scenarios. We will focus on the expected spatially resolved decadal changes until mid-century providing robust evidence on climate sensitivity, and regional temperature, precipitation and circulation changes, thereby enabling evidence-based policy decisions that will directly benefit the EU's adaptation and mitigation strategy.

GTS Bulletin: SMVX22 EDZW - Surface data (details are described in the abstract)

The SMVX22 TTAAii Data Designators decode as: T1 (S): Surface data T1T2 (SM): Main synoptic hour (Remarks from Volume-C: SHIP)

GTS Bulletin: SMVX21 EDZW - Surface data (details are described in the abstract)

The SMVX21 TTAAii Data Designators decode as: T1 (S): Surface data T1T2 (SM): Main synoptic hour (Remarks from Volume-C: SHIP)

GTS Bulletin: SILV40 UMRR - Surface data (details are described in the abstract)

The SILV40 TTAAii Data Designators decode as: T1 (S): Surface data T1T2 (SI): Intermediate synoptic hour A1A2 (LV): Latvia (Remarks from Volume-C: NilReason)

GTS Bulletin: FTKN32 HKEL - Forecast (details are described in the abstract)

The FTKN32 TTAAii Data Designators decode as: T1 (F): Forecast T1T2 (FT): Aerodrome (VT >= 12 hours) A1A2 (KN): Kenya (Remarks from Volume-C: NilReason)

GTS Bulletin: ISND83 AMDN - Observational data (Binary coded) - BUFR (details are described in the abstract)

The ISND83 TTAAii Data Designators decode as: T1 (I): Observational data (Binary coded) - BUFR T1T2 (IS): Surface/sea level T1T2A1 (ISN): Synoptic observations from fixed land stations at non-standard time (i.e. 01, 02, 04, 05, ... UTC) A2 (D): 90°E - 0° northern hemisphere (Remarks from Volume-C: NATIONAL AUTOMATIC SYNOP)

GTS Bulletin: ISND84 AMDN - Observational data (Binary coded) - BUFR (details are described in the abstract)

The ISND84 TTAAii Data Designators decode as: T1 (I): Observational data (Binary coded) - BUFR T1T2 (IS): Surface/sea level T1T2A1 (ISN): Synoptic observations from fixed land stations at non-standard time (i.e. 01, 02, 04, 05, ... UTC) A2 (D): 90°E - 0° northern hemisphere (Remarks from Volume-C: NATIONAL AUTOMATIC SYNOP)

GTS Bulletin: SADL43 EDZW - Surface data (details are described in the abstract)

The SADL43 TTAAii Data Designators decode as: T1 (S): Surface data T1T2 (SA): Aviation routine reports A1A2 (DL): Germany (The bulletin collects reports from stations: ETOU;WIESBADEN ARMY AIRFIELD;ETOR;COLEMAN ARMY AIR FIELD;ETIH;HOHENFELS ARMY AIR FIELD;ETIK;ILLESHEIM AIR BASE;ETAR;RAMSTEIN AIR BASE;ETAD;SPANGDAHLEM AIR BASE;) (Remarks from Volume-C: AUTO METAR)

GTS Bulletin: FCDL35 EDZO - Forecast (details are described in the abstract)

The FCDL35 TTAAii Data Designators decode as: T1 (F): Forecast T1T2 (FC): Aerodrome (VT < 12 hours) A1A2 (DL): Germany (The bulletin collects reports from stations: EDHA;EDHI;HAMBURG-FINKENWERDER ;EDHK;KIEL-HOLTENAU ;EDJA;MEMMINGEN ALLGAU ;EDMO;OBERPFAFFENHOFEN ;EDTD;DONAUESCHINGEN-VILLINGEN ;EDTL;LAHR ;EDTY;SCHWAEBISCH HALL ;EDVE;BRAUNSCHWEIG WOLFSBURG ;EDXW;WESTERLAND SYLT ;EDZO;)

GTS Bulletin: FCSN32 ESDF - Forecast (details are described in the abstract)

The FCSN32 TTAAii Data Designators decode as: T1 (F): Forecast T1T2 (FC): Aerodrome (VT < 12 hours) A1A2 (SN): Sweden (Remarks from Volume-C: NilReason)

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