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European Investment Bank - Water Management

BACKGROUND: The Kingdom of Jordan belongs to the ten water scarcest countries in the world, and climate change is likely to increase the frequency of future droughts. Jordan is considered among the 10 most water impoverished countries in the world, with per capita water availability estimated at 170 m per annum, compared to an average of 1,000 m per annum in other countries. Jordan Government has taken the strategic decision to develop a conveyor system including a 325 km pipe to pump 100 million cubic meters per year of potable water from Disi-Mudawwara close to the Saudi Border in the south, to the Greater Amman area in the north. The construction of the water pipeline has started end of 2009 and shall be finished in 2013. Later on, the pipeline could serve as a major part of a national water carrier in order to convey desalinated water from the Red Sea to the economically most important central region of the country. The conveyor project will not only significantly increase water supplies to the capital, but also provide for the re-allocation of current supplies to other governorates, and for the conservation of aquifers. In the context of the Disi project that is co-funded by EIB two Environmental and Social Management Plans have been prepared: one for the private project partners and one for the Jordan Government. The latter includes the Governments obligation to re-balance water allocations to irrigation and to gradually restore the protected wetlands of Azraq (Ramsar site) east of Amman that has been depleted due to over-abstraction by re-directing discharge of highland aquifers after the Disi pipeline becomes operational. The Water Strategy recognizes that groundwater extraction for irrigation is beyond acceptable limits. Since the source is finite and priority should be given to human consumption it proposes to tackle the demand for irrigation through tariff adjustments, improved irrigation technology and disincentive to water intensive crops. The Disi aquifer is currently used for irrigation by farms producing all kinds of fruits and vegetables on a large scale and exporting most of their products to the Saudi and European markets and it is almost a third of Jordan's total consumption. The licenses for that commercial irrigation were finished by 2011/12. Whilst the licenses will be not renewed the difficulty will be the enforcement and satellite based information become an important supporting tool for monitoring. OUTLOOK: The ESA funded project Water management had the objective to support the South-North conveyor project and the activities of EIB together with the MWI in Jordan to ensure the supply of water for the increasing demand. EO Information provides a baseline for land cover and elevation and support the monitoring of further stages. usw.

Die Auswirkung extremer Schmelzereignisse auf die zukünftige Massenbilanz des grönländischen Eisschildes

Im letzten Jahrzehnt war der grönländische Eisschild mehreren Extremereignissen ausgesetzt, mit teils unerwartet starken Auswirkungen auf die Oberflächenmassebilanz und den Eisfluss, insbesondere in den Jahren 2010, 2012 und 2015. Einige dieser Schmelzereignisse prägten sich eher lokal aus (wie in 2015), während andere fast die gesamte Eisfläche bedeckten (wie in 2010).Mit fortschreitendem Klimawandel ist zu erwarten, dass extreme Schmelzereignisse häufiger auftreten und sich verstärken bzw. länger anhalten. Bisherige Projektionen des Eisverlustes von Grönland basieren jedoch typischerweise auf Szenarien, die nur allmähliche Veränderungen des Klimas berücksichtigen, z.B. in den Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), wie sie im letzten IPCC-Bericht genutzt wurden. In aktuellen Projektionen werden extreme Schmelzereignisse im Allgemeinen unterschätzt - und welche Konsequenzen dies für den zukünftigen Meeresspiegelanstieg hat, bleibt eine offene Forschungsfrage.Ziel des vorgeschlagenen Projektes ist es, die Auswirkungen extremer Schmelzereignisse auf die zukünftige Entwicklung des grönländischen Eisschildes zu untersuchen. Dabei werden die unmittelbaren und dauerhaften Auswirkungen auf die Oberflächenmassenbilanz und die Eisdynamik bestimmt und somit die Beiträge zum Meeresspiegelanstieg quantifiziert. In dem Forschungsprojekt planen wir zudem, kritische Schwellenwerte in der Häufigkeit, Intensität sowie Dauer von Extremereignissen zu identifizieren, die - sobald sie einmal überschritten sind - eine großräumige Änderung in der Eisdynamik auslösen könnten.Zu diesem Zweck werden wir die dynamische Reaktion des grönländischen Eisschilds in einer Reihe von Klimaszenarien untersuchen, in denen extreme Schmelzereignisse mit unterschiedlicher Wahrscheinlichkeit zu bestimmten Zeitpunkten auftreten, und die Dauer und Stärke prognostisch variiert werden. Um indirekte Effekte durch verstärktes submarines Schmelzen hierbei berücksichtigen zu können, werden wir das etablierte Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) mit dem Linearen Plume-Modell (LPM) koppeln. Das LPM berechnet das turbulente submarine Schmelzen aufgrund von Veränderungen der Meerestemperatur und des subglazialen Ausflusses. Es ist numerisch sehr effizient, so dass das gekoppelte PISM-LPM Modell Ensemble-Läufe mit hoher Auflösung ermöglicht. Folglich kann eine breite Palette von Modellparametern und Klimaszenarien in Zukunftsprojektionen in Betracht gezogen werden.Mit dem interaktiv gekoppelten Modell PISM-LPM werden wir den Beitrag Grönlands zum Meeresspiegelanstieg im 21. Jahrhundert bestimmen, unter Berücksichtigung regionaler Veränderungen von Niederschlag, Oberflächen- und Meerestemperaturen, und insbesondere der Auswirkungen von Extremereignissen. Ein Hauptergebnis wird eine Risikokarte sein, die aufzeigt, in welchen kritischen Regionen Grönlands zukünftige extreme Schmelzereignisse den stärksten Eisverlust zur Folge hätten.

Änderungen der Cant Speicherung und Änderungen in den Bildungsraten für Zwischen- Tiefen- und Bodenwasser im globalen Ozean, 1982 - 2015

Die erste Antragsphase war auf die Bildungsraten und die Speicherung von anthropogenem Kohlenstoff (Cant) im Antarktischen Zwischenwasser (AAIW) fokussiert. Mit Hilfe von Freon (CFC) Daten konnten wir eine signifikante Reduktion der AAIW Bildungsrate von den 1990ern zu den 2000ern Jahren feststellen. Dies führte zu einer geringeren Steigerung der Cant Speicherung als vom atmosphärischen Cant Anstieg und einem unveränderten Ozean zu erwarten war. Um den Schwierigkeiten mit den Randbedingungen auszuweichen (Pazifisches AAIW strömt über die Drake Passage auch in den Atlantik und weiter in den Indischen Ozean) planen wir nun ein globales Vorgehen um in allen Ozeanen die Bildungsraten und Cant Speicherungen in den Zwischen- Tiefen- und Bodenwassermassen zu berechnen. Darüber hinaus wird der Zeitraum bis 2015 ausgedehnt, und wo immer die Datenlage es zulässt, Pentaden- anstatt Dekadenmittelwerte gebildet. Verwendet wird der aktualisierte GlODAPv2 Datensatz und eigene Daten.Die Berechnungen aus den Beobachtungen werden mit den Ergebnissen eines wirbelauflösenden globalen Ozeanmodells (1/10 Grad) kombiniert. Das POP Modell (Los Alamos Laboratory Parallel Ocean Program) mit eines horizontalen Auflösung von 0.1 Grad und 42 Tiefenstufen wird für die letzten 20 Jahre mit einem realistischen Forcing angetrieben und enthält außerdem die Freone als Tracer. Neben dem Vergleich mit einem klimatologischen Antrieb wird das Modell zur Weiterentwicklung der Tracer-Methode verwendet wir z.B. die Unsicherheit von zu wenig Datenpunkten und der Extrpolationsroutine auf die Bildungsraten / Cant Speicherungen. Ein weiterer wichtiger Punkt wird die Bestimmung der TTDs aus Lagrange Trajektorien und der Vergleich mit TTDs aus Tracermessungen sein, sowie die Untersuchung der Rolle der Wirbel, der Vermischung durch Wirbel und der vertikalen Vermischung.

Forest vegetation development in the Bavarian Forest National Park following the 1983 windfall event

In the Bavarian Forest National Park a brief, but intense storm event on 1 August 1983 created large windfall areas. The windfall ecosystems within the protection zone of the park were left develop without interference; outside this zone windfall areas were cleared of dead wood but not afforested. A set of permanent plots (transect design with 10 to 10 m plots) was established in 1988 in spruce forests of wet and cool valley bottoms in order to document vegetation development. Resampling shall take place every five years; up to now it was done in 1993 and 1998. On cleared areas an initial raspberry (Rubus idaeus) shrub community was followed by pioneer birch (Betula pubescens, B. pendula) woodland, a sequence well known from managed forest stands. In contrast to this, these two stages were restricted to root plates of fallen trees in uncleared windfalls; here shade-tolerant tree species of the terminal forest stages established rather quickly from saplings that had already been present in the preceeding forest stand. Soil surface disturbances are identified to be causal to the management pathway of forest development, wereas the untouched pathway is caused by relatively low disturbance levels. The simulation model FORSKA-M is used to analyse different options of further stand development with a simulation time period of one hundred years.

Barley dwarfs acting big in agronomy. Identification of genes and characterization of proteins involved in dwarfism, lodging resistance and crop yield

Barley (Hordeum vulgare) is an important cereal grain which serves as major animal fodder crop as well as basis for malt beverages or staple food. Currently barley is ranked fourth in terms of quantity of cereal crops produced worldwide. In times of a constantly growing world population in conjunction with an unforeseeable climate change and groundwater depletion, the accumulation of knowledge concerning cereal growth and rate of yield gain is important. The Nordic Genetic Resource Center holds a major collection of barley mutants produced by irradiation or chemical treatment. One phenotypic group of barley varieties are dwarf mutants (erectoides, brachytic, semidwarf, uzu). They are characterized by a compact spike and high rate of yield while the straw is short and stiff, enhancing the lodging resistance of the plant. Obviously they are of applied interest, but they are also of scientific interest as virtually nothing is known about the genes behind the development of plant dwarfism. The aim of this project is to identify and isolate the genes carrying the mutations by using state of the art techniques for gene cloning at the Carlsberg Laboratory. The identified genes will be connected with the mutant phenotype to reveal the gene function in general. One or two genes will be overexpressed and the resulting recombinant proteins will be biochemically and structurally characterized. The insights how the mutation effects the protein will display the protein function in particular. Identified genes and their mutant alleles will be tested in the barley breeding program of the Carlsberg brewery.

The iron-snow regime in Fe-FeS cores: a numerical and experimental approach

In the Earth, the dynamo action is strongly linked to core freezing. There is a solid inner core, the growth of which provides a buoyancy flux that drives the dynamo. The buoyancy in this case derives from a difference in composition between the solid inner core and the fluid outer core. In planetary bodies smaller than the Earth, however, this core differentiation process may differ - Fe may precipitate at the core-mantle boundary (CMB) rather than in the center and may fall as iron snow and initially remelt with greater depth. A chemical stable sedimentation zone develops that comprises with time the entire core - at that time a solid inner core starts to grow. The dynamics of this system is not well understood and also whether it can generate a magnetic field or not. The Jovian moon Ganymede, which shows a present-day magnetic dipole field, is a candidate for which such a scenario has been suggested. We plan to study this Fe-snow regime with both a numerical and experimental approach. In the numerical study, we use a 2D/3D thermo-chemical convection model that considers crystallization and sinking of iron crystals together with the dynamics of the liquid core phase (for the 3D case the influence of the rotation of the Fe snow process is further studied).The numerical calculations will be complemented by two series of experiments: (1) investigations in metal alloys by means of X-ray radioscopy, and (2) measurements in transparent analogues by optical techniques. The experiments will examine typical features of the iron snow regime. On the one hand they will serve as a tool to validate the numerical approach and on the other hand they will yield important insight into sub-processes of the iron snow regime, which cannot be accessed within the numerical approach due to their complexity.

Dissolved organic matter driven changes in minerals and organic-mineral interactions during paddy soil development

Previous studies indicated that the development and biogeochemistry of paddy soils relates to the parent material, thus the original soil paddies derive from. The proposed research focuses on redox-mediated changes in mineral composition and mineral-associated organic matter (OM) during paddy transformation of different soils. We plan to subject soil samples to a series of redox cycles, in order to mimic paddy soil formation and development. Soils with strongly different properties and mineral composition as well as at different states of paddy transformation; ranging from unchanged soils to fully developed paddy soils, are to be included. We hypothesize that dissolved organic matter is one key driver in redox-mediated transformations, serving as an electron donator as well as interacting with dissolved metals and minerals. The extent of effects shall depend on the parent soil's original mineral assemblage and organic matter and their mutual interactions. The experimental paddy soil transformation will tracked by analyses of soil solutions, of the (re-)distribution of carbon (by addition of 13C-labelled rice straw), of indicative biomolecules (sugars, amino sugars, fatty acids, lignin) and of minerals (including the redox state of Fe). For analyses of organic matter as well as of mineral characteristics we plan to utilize EXAFS and XPS, for Fe-bearing minerals also Mößbauer spectroscopy. This approach of experimental pedology seems appropriate to give insight into the major factors during paddy soil formation and development.

Forest functions arrangement with the CBD's Ecosystem Approach - A study on the Bengawan Solo River Basin, Java, Indonesia

The natural capital of forests consists to a great extend of the forests environmental functions for human well-being, which not only include goods and services (source and sink functions) but also include life-support functions that reflect ecosystem performance (ecosystem functioning). Shifting the management approach from a traditional one to one that is more aware of the ecosystem complexity, the idea of 'ecosystem functioning is appearing to tackle gradual declines of ecosystem functions. Within CBDs framework, the Ecosystem Approach has been introduced on account of the necessity for open decision making with strong links between all stakeholders and the latest scientific knowledge due to uncertainty and unpredictability in nature. The Ecosystem Approach is still in need of further elaboration, even though as a concept Ecosystem Approach has been widely accepted. To aim forest enhancement, this approach has been regarded as the most feasible concept for the study area, the Bengawan Solo River Basin - Java, Indonesia. Therefore the principles and operational guidelines will be used to analyse and evaluate the current forest management in those areas of the Bengawan Solo River Basin, in which ecosystem function is the basis for forest development area. This research focuses on ecological functions of forests at various levels of ecosystem management planning, from the forestry sectors point of view.

Forschergruppe (FOR) 456 degree of celsius: The role of Biodiversity for element cycling and trophic interactions: An experimental approach in a grassland community, FOR 438: Die Bedeutung von Biodiversität für Stoffkreisläufe und trophische Interaktionen: Ein Versuchsansatz in Grasslandgesellschaften - Teilprojekt: Diversität und Funktion von arbuskulären Mykorrhiza- und Bodenpilzen mit oxidativem Potential in Grasländern mit unterschiedlichen Stufen pflanzlicher Diversität

Das Jena Experiment hat es sich zum Ziel gesetzt Zusammenhänge zwischen Pflanzendiversität und Ökosystemprozessen zu untersuchen. Unsere Arbeiten beschäftigen sich mit einer der Schlüsselgruppen in unterirdischen Ökosystemprozessen - den Pilzen. Das Wirtsspektrum arbuskulärer Mykorrhizapilze (AMF) wird innerhalb der Monokultur-Plots untersucht. In Polykulturen unterschiedlicher Diversität soll der Zusammenhang zwischen Artenreichtum von Pflanzen und AMF vertiefend studiert werden. Durch ein Experiment mit stabilen Isotopen soll der Beitrag der AMF für die Nährstoffverteilung zwischen einzelnen Pflanzenarten, aber auch zwischen funktionellen Gruppen näher beleuchtet werden. Weiterhin wird untersucht, ob Zusammenhänge zwischen Stickstoffmineralisierung, Anreicherung organischer Substanzen sowie der Diversität und dem Expressionsprofil pilzlicher Laccasegene bestehen.

Biogenic soil structures: feedbacks between bioactivity and spatial heterogeneity of water storage and fluxes from plot to hillslope scale

Soil structure determines a large part of the spatial heterogeneity in water storage and fluxes from the plot to the hillslope scale. In recent decades important progress in hydrological research has been achieved by including soil structure in hydrological models. One of the main problems herein remains the difficulty of measuring soil structure and quantifying its influence on hydrological processes. As soil structure is very often of biogenic origin (macropores), the main objective of this project is to use the influence of bioactivity and resulting soil structures to describe and support modelling of hydrological processes at different scales. Therefore, local scale bioactivity will be linked to local infiltration patterns under varying catchment conditions. At hillslope scale, the spatial distribution of bioactivity patterns will be linked to connectivity of subsurface structures to explain subsurface stormflow generation. Then we will apply species distribution modelling of key organisms in order to extrapolate the gained knowledge to the catchment scale. As on one hand, bioactivity influences the hydrological processes, but on the other hand the species distribution also depends on soil moisture contents, including the feedbacks between bioactivity and soil hydrology is pivotal for getting reliable predictions of catchment scale hydrological behavior under land use change and climate change.

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