Recent and predicted increases in extremely dry and hot summers emphasise the need for silvicultural approaches to increase the drought tolerance of existing forests in the short-term, before adaptation through species changes may be possible. We aim to investigate whether resistance during droughts, as well as the recovery following drought events (resilience), can be increased by allocating more growing space to individual trees through thinning. Thinning increases access of promoted trees to soil stored water, as long as this is available. However, these trees may also be disadvantaged through a higher transpirational surface, or the increased neighbourhood competition by ground vegetation. To assess whether trees with different growing space differ in drought tolerance, tree discs and cores from thinning experiments of Pinus sylvestris and Pseudotsuga menziesii stands will be used to examine transpirational stress and growth reduction during previous droughts as well as their subsequent recovery. Dendroecology and stable isotopes of carbon and oxygen in tree-rings will be used to quantify how assimilation rate and stomatal conductance were altered through thinning. The results will provide crucial information for the development of short-term silvicultural adaptation strategies to adapt forest ecosystems to climate change. In addition, this study will improve our understanding of the relationship between resistance and resilience of trees in relation to extreme stress events.
Water is an intrinsic component of ecosystems acting as a key agent of lateral transport for particulate and dissolved nutrients, forcing energy transfers, triggering erosion, and driving biodiversity patterns. Given the drastic impact of land use and climate change on any of these components and the vulnerability of Ecuadorian ecosystems with regard to this global change, indicators are required that not merely describe the structural condition of ecosystems, but rather capture the functional relations and processes. This project aims at investigating a set of such functional indicators from the fields of hydrology and biogeochemistry. In particular we will investigate (1) flow regime and timing, (2) nutrient cycling and flux rates, and (3) sediment fluxes as likely indicators. For assessing flow regime and timing we will concentrate on studying stable water isotopes to estimate mean transit time distributions that are likely to be impacted by changes in rainfall patterns and land use. Hysteresis loops of nitrate concentrations and calculated flux rates will be used as functional indicators for nutrient fluxes, most likely to be altered by changes in temperature as well as by land use and management. Finally, sediment fluxes will be measured to indicate surface runoff contribution to total discharge, mainly influenced by intensity of rainfall as well as land use. Monitoring of (1) will be based on intensive sampling campaigns of stable water isotopes in stream water and precipitation, while for (2) and (3) we plan to install automatic, high temporal-resolution field analytical instruments. Based on the data obtained by this intensive, bust cost effective monitoring, we will develop the functional indicators. This also provides a solid database for process-based model development. Models that are able to simulate these indicators are needed to enable projections into the future and to investigate the resilience of Ecuadorian landscape to global change. For the intended model set up we will couple the Catchment Modeling Framework, the biogeochemical LandscapeDNDC model and semi-empirical models for aquatic diversity. Global change scenarios will then be analyzed to capture the likely reaction of functional indicators. Finally, we will contribute to the written guidelines for developing a comprehensive monitoring program for biodiversity and ecosystem functions. Right from the beginning we will cooperate with four SENESCYT companion projects and three local non-university partners to ensure that the developed monitoring program will be appreciated by locals and stakeholders. Monitoring and modelling will focus on all three research areas in the Páramo (Cajas National Park), the dry forest (Reserva Laipuna) and the tropical montane cloud forest (Reserva Biologica San Francisco).
During microbial turnover of organic chemicals in soil, non-extractable residues (NER) are formed frequently. Studies on NER formation usually performed with radioisotope labelled tracer compounds are limited to localisation and quantitative analyses but their chemical composition is left unknown. Recently, we could show for 2,4-dichlorophenoxyacetic acid and ibuprofen that during microbial turnover in soil nearly all NER were derived from microbial biomass, since degrading bacteria use the pollutant carbon for their biomass synthesis. Their cell debris is subsequently stabilised within soil organic matter (SOM) forming biogenic NER (bioNER). It is still unknown whether bioNER are also formed during biodegradation of other, structurally different compound classes of organic contaminants. Therefore, agricultural soil will be incubated with labelled compounds of five classes of commonly used and emerging pesticides: organophosphate, phenylurea, triazinone, benzothiadiazine and aryloxyphenoxypropionic acid. The fate of the label will be monitored in both living and non-living SOM pools and the formation of bioNER will be quantified for each compound over extended periods of time. In addition, soil samples from long-term lysimeter studies with 14C-labelled pesticide residues (e.g. triazine, benzothiazole and phenoxypropionic acid group) will be also analysed for bioNER formation. The results will be summarised to identify the metabolic conditions of microorganisms needed for bioNER formation and to develop an extended concept of risk assessment including bioNER formation in soils.
The natural capital of forests consists to a great extend of the forests environmental functions for human well-being, which not only include goods and services (source and sink functions) but also include life-support functions that reflect ecosystem performance (ecosystem functioning). Shifting the management approach from a traditional one to one that is more aware of the ecosystem complexity, the idea of 'ecosystem functioning is appearing to tackle gradual declines of ecosystem functions. Within CBDs framework, the Ecosystem Approach has been introduced on account of the necessity for open decision making with strong links between all stakeholders and the latest scientific knowledge due to uncertainty and unpredictability in nature. The Ecosystem Approach is still in need of further elaboration, even though as a concept Ecosystem Approach has been widely accepted. To aim forest enhancement, this approach has been regarded as the most feasible concept for the study area, the Bengawan Solo River Basin - Java, Indonesia. Therefore the principles and operational guidelines will be used to analyse and evaluate the current forest management in those areas of the Bengawan Solo River Basin, in which ecosystem function is the basis for forest development area. This research focuses on ecological functions of forests at various levels of ecosystem management planning, from the forestry sectors point of view.
Die ständige Weiterentwicklung und Verbesserung der Wetter- und Klimamodelle stellt die Fernerkundung der Atmosphäre vor große Herausforderungen. Für die Evaluierung der Modelle werden immer besser aufgelöste Messungen und Methoden benötigt. Herkömmliche Ansätze scheitern hier vor allem an fehlenden kontinuierlichen Beobachtungen der Temperatur und Feuchte bei allen Wetterbedingungen und insbesondere bei Regen. Ein Windprofiler ist allerdings auch bei solchen Bedingungen in der Lage Vertikalinformationen der Temperatur- und Feuchtegradienten zu messen. Der hier vorgeschlagene neuartige Ansatz aus einer Synergie aus Windprofiler (inklusive Radio Acoustic Sounding System), Ramanlidar, Mikrowellenradiometer und Wolkenradar ermöglicht eine automatisierte und kontinuierliche Erstellung von Temperatur- und Feuchteprofilen sogar bei Niederschlägen. Die zu verwendende variationelle Methode (optimale Schätzung, in engl. â€Ìoptimal estimationâ€Ì) bietet dabei ein robustes Hilfsmittel für die Kombination mehrerer Messgeräte unter Einbeziehung der Unsicherheiten der einzelnen Systeme. Bei der optimalen Schätzung wird ein vorgegebener Anfangszustand (z.B. die Klimatologie des Standorts oder der letzte bekannte Zustand) so lange iterativ variiert, bis er mit den Beobachtungen der verschiedenen Messgeräte innerhalb der Unsicherheiten übereinstimmt. Die Methode ermöglicht auch eine ausführliche Analyse der Unsicherheiten der Resultate und eine Einschätzung der Beiträge der einzelnen Geräte.Die langen Zeitreihen an Daten und die Kombination an sich ergänzenden Messinstrumenten, insbesondere mit dem 482 MHz Windprofiler am Meteorologischen Observatorium Lindenberg â€Ì Richard Aßmann Observatorium (MOL-RAO), sind einzigartig. Der Antragsteller kann hier seine umfangreichen Erfahrungen mit Instrumentensynergie und der Entwicklung von Algorithmen zur Ableitung atmosphärischer Variablen einbringen, um eine kontinuierliche Zeitreihe von Temperatur- und Feuchteprofilen mit bisher nicht erreichter Genauigkeit innerhalb und oberhalb von Wolken und insbesondere bei Niederschlag zu erstellen. Die thermodynamischen Profile bieten die ideale Möglichkeit, die Verdunstungsraten und die daraus resultierende Abkühlung mit einer verbesserten Genauigkeit zu quantifizieren. Die Unsicherheiten, die durch ungenaue Profile der relativen Feuchte und Temperatur entstehen, werden mit Hilfe von Simulationen abgeschätzt. Langzeitbeobachtungen an MOL-RAO werden genutzt, um aussagekräfige Statistiken über die Verdunstungs- und Abkühlungsraten zu erstellen. Die Ergebnisse werden für verschiedene Bedingungen wie stratiformen und konvektiven Niederschlag und für verschiedenen Jahreszeiten evaluiert. Dies wird den Modellieren helfen, die Parametrisierungen der Verdunstungsraten in kleinskaligen Modellen zu evaluieren.
To overcome the limitation in spatial and temporal resolution of methane oceanic measurements, sensors are needed that can autonomously detect CH4-concentrations over longer periods of time. The proposed project is aimed at:- Designing molecular receptors for methane recognition (cryptophane-A and -111) and synthesizing new compounds allowing their introduction in polymeric structure (Task 1; LC, France); - Adapting, calibrating and validating the 2 available optical technologies, one of which serves as the reference sensor, for the in-situ detection and measurements of CH4 in the marine environments (Task 2 and 3; GET, LAAS-OSE, IOW) Boulart et al. (2008) showed that a polymeric filmchanges its bulk refractive index when methane docks on to cryptophane-A supra-molecules that are mixed in to the polymeric film. It is the occurrence of methane in solution, which changes either the refractive index measured with high resolution Surface Plasmon Resonance (SPR; Chinowsky et al., 2003; Boulart et al, 2012b) or the transmitted power measured with differential fiber-optic refractometer (Boulart et al., 2012a; Aouba et al., 2012).- Using the developed sensors for the study of the CH4 cycle in relevant oceanic environment (the GODESS station in the Baltic Sea, Task 4 and 5; IOW, GET); GODESS registers a number of parameters with high temporal and vertical resolution by conducting up to 200 vertical profiles over 3 months deployment with a profiling platform hosting the sensor suite. - Quantifying methane fluxes to the atmosphere (Task 6); clearly, the current project, which aims at developing in-situ aqueous gas sensors, provides the technological tool to achieve the implementation of ocean observatories for CH4. The aim is to bring the fiber-optic methane sensor on the TRL (Technology Readiness Level) from their current Level 3 (Analytical and laboratory studies to validate analytical predictions) - to the Levels 5 and 6 (Component and/or basic sub-system technology validation in relevant sensing environments) and compare it to the SPR methane sensor, taken as the reference sensor (current TRL 5). This would lead to potential patent applications before further tests and commercialization. This will be achieved by the ensemble competences and contributions from the proposed consortium in this project.
Methoden des terrestrischen Carbon Dioxide Removal (tCDR) wie Aufforstung und Biomasseplantagen werden zuweilen als effektive, 'grüne' und sichere Varianten des Klimaengineering (CE) verstanden wegen ihrer Möglichkeit, die natürliche CO2-Aufnahme durch die Biosphäre zu erhöhen, und ihrer denkbaren ökonomischen Tragfähigkeit. Erkenntnisse aus der ersten Phase des CE-LAND-Projekts legen indes nahe, dass tCDR aufgrund schwieriger erdsystemischer und ethischer Fragen ebenso kontrovers wie andere CE-Methoden ist. CO2-Budgetierungen und rein ökonomische Bewertungen sind daher um profunde Analysen der natürlichen Begrenzungen, der Auswirkungen auf das Erdsystem mit damit verbundenen Unsicherheiten, der Tradeoffs mit anderen Land- und Wassernutzungen und der weitreichenden ethischen Implikationen von tCDR-Maßnahmen zu ergänzen. Analysen hypothetischer Szenarien der ersten Projektphase zeigen, dass effektives tCDR die Umwidmung großer Flächen voraussetzt, womit schwierige Abwägungsprozesse mit anderen Landnutzungen verbunden wären. Darüber hinaus zeigt sich, dass signifikante Nebenwirkungen im Klimasystem (außer der bezweckten Senkung der Weltmitteltemperatur) und in terrestrischen biogeochemischen Kreisläufen aufträten. CE-LAND+ bietet eine tiefergehende quantitative, räumlich explizite Evaluierung der nicht-ökonomischen Kosten einer Biosphärentransformation für tCDR. Potentielle Tradeoffs und Impakts wie auch die systematische Untersuchung von Unsicherheiten in ihrer Abschätzung werden mit zwei Vegetationsmodellen, einem Erdsystemmodell und, neu im Projekt, dynamischen Biodiversitätsmodellen analysiert. Konkret wird CE-LAND+ bisher kaum bilanzierte Tradeoffs untersuchen: einerseits zwischen der Maximierung der Flächennutzung für tCDR bzw. Biodiversitätsschutz, andererseits zwischen der Maximierung der Süßwasserverfügbarkeit für tCDR bzw. Nahrungsmittelproduktion sowie Flussökosysteme. Auch werden die (in)direkten Auswirkungen veränderten Klimas und tCDR-bedingter Landnutzungsänderungen auf Wasserknappheit (mit diversen Metriken und unter Annahme verschiedener Varianten des Wassermanagements) und Biodiversität quantifiziert. Die Tradeoffs und Impakts werden im Kontext von neben der Bekämpfung des Klimawandels formulierten globalen Nachhaltigkeitszielen - Biodiversitätsschutz, Wasser- und Ernährungssicherheit interpretiert - was sonst nicht im Schwerpunktprogramm vermittelt wird. Ferner wird das Projekt zu besserem Verständnis und besserer Quantifizierung von Unsicherheiten von tCDR-Effekten unter zukünftigem Klima beitragen. Hierzu untersucht es modellstrukturbedingte Unterschiede, Wachstum und Mortalität von tCDR-Pflanzungen unter wärmeren und CO2-reicheren Bedingungen und Wechselwirkungen zwischen tCDR-bezogenen Landnutzungsaktivitäten und Klima. Schließlich wird CE-LAND+ in Kooperationen innerhalb des Schwerpunktprogramms und mit einer repräsentativen Auswahl von Szenarien zur Evaluierung tCDR-bedingter Tradeoffs aus umweltethischer Sicht beitragen.
Aims: Floods in small and medium-sized river catchments have often been a focus of attention in the past. In contrast to large rivers like the Rhine, the Elbe or the Danube, discharge can increase very rapidly in such catchments; we are thus confronted with a high damage potential combined with almost no time for advance warning. Since the heavy precipitation events causing such floods are often spatially very limited, they are difficult to forecast; long-term provision is therefore an important task, which makes it necessary to identify vulnerable regions and to develop prevention measures. For that purpose, one needs to know how the frequency and the intensity of floods will develop in the future, especially in the near future, i.e. the next few decades. Besides providing such prognoses, an important goal of this project was also to quantify their uncertainty. Method: These questions were studied by a team of meteorologists and hydrologists from KIT and GFZ. They simulated the natural chain 'large-scale weather - regional precipitation - catchment discharge' by a model chain 'global climate model (GCM) - regional climate model (RCM) - hydrological model (HM)'. As a novel feature, we performed so-called ensemble simulations in order to estimate the range of possible results, i.e. the uncertainty: we used two GCMs with different realizations, two RCMs and three HMs. The ensemble method, which is quite standard in physics, engineering and recently also in weather forecasting has hitherto rarely been used in regional climate modeling due to the very high computational demands. In our study, the demand was even higher due to the high spatial resolution (7 km by 7 km) we used; presently, regional studies use considerably larger grid boxes of about 100 km2. However, our study shows that a high resolution is necessary for a realistic simulation of the small-scale rainfall patterns and intensities. This combination of high resolution and an ensemble using results from global, regional and hydrological models is unique. Results: By way of example, we considered the low-mountain range rivers Mulde and Ruhr and the more alpine Ammer river in this study, all of which had severe flood events in the past. Our study confirms that heavy precipitation events will occur more frequently in the future. Does this also entail an increased flood risk? Our results indicate that in any case, the risk will not decrease. However, each catchment reacts differently, and different models may produce different precipitation and runoff regimes, emphasizing the need of ensemble studies. A statistically significant increase of floods is expected for the river Ruhr in winter and in summer. For the river Mulde, we observe a slight increase of floods during summer and autumn, and for the river Ammer a slight decrease in summer and a slight increase in winter.
In today's biodiversity crisis, there is an urgent need to monitor terrestrial and aquatic species in their natural habitats, especially those that may be endangered, invasive or elusive. Traditional species observation methods, based on acoustic or observational surveys are inefficient, costly and time consuming. On the other hand, DNA is continuously deposited in the environment from natural processes and this environmental DNA (eDNA) allows us to detect species and reconstruct their communities with a high level of sensitivity. These data can be used to obtain occurrence records and to collect more population information in field. Crucially, these data are necessary to inform management agencies about the current state of our biodiversity, and are especially urgent for species that are currently data deficient. The aims of this study are to firstly identify occurrence records from diverse sources (databases, literature) and generate a database of distributional data for species of crustacean and mollusks that are data deficient in Sweden. Secondly, we aim to detect threatened species in Swedish marine, freshwater and terrestrial habitats using novel genomic methods (DNA metabarcoding, ddPCR). Finally, based on the new data, we will run species distribution and population models, to improve information on geographic range and population status for threatened invertebrates. The results will be integrated into current monitoring programmes (e.g. red-listing) and action plans.
Especially during the last decades, the natural forests of Ethiopia have been heavily disturbed by human activities. Some forests have been totally cleared and converted into fields for agricultural use, other suffered from different influences, such as heavy grazing and selective logging. The ongoing research in the Shashemane-Munessa-study area (Gu 406/8-1,2) showed clearly that, in spite of interdiction and control, forests continue to be cleared and degraded. However, it is not yet sufficiently known, how and why these processes are still going on. Growing population pressure and economic constraints for the people living in and around the forests contribute to the actual situation but allow no final answers to the complex situation. Concerning a sustainable management of the forests there is to no solid basis for recommendations from the socioeconomic and socio-cultural view. Therefore, a comprehensive analysis of the traditional needs and forms of forest use, including all forest products, is necessary. The objective of this project is, to achieve this basis by carrying out intensive field observations, the consultation of aerial photographs, satellite imagery and above all semi-structured interviews with the population in the study area in order to contribute to the recommendations for a sustainable use of the Munessa Shasemane forests.
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