Im letzten Jahrzehnt war der grönländische Eisschild mehreren Extremereignissen ausgesetzt, mit teils unerwartet starken Auswirkungen auf die Oberflächenmassebilanz und den Eisfluss, insbesondere in den Jahren 2010, 2012 und 2015. Einige dieser Schmelzereignisse prägten sich eher lokal aus (wie in 2015), während andere fast die gesamte Eisfläche bedeckten (wie in 2010).Mit fortschreitendem Klimawandel ist zu erwarten, dass extreme Schmelzereignisse häufiger auftreten und sich verstärken bzw. länger anhalten. Bisherige Projektionen des Eisverlustes von Grönland basieren jedoch typischerweise auf Szenarien, die nur allmähliche Veränderungen des Klimas berücksichtigen, z.B. in den Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), wie sie im letzten IPCC-Bericht genutzt wurden. In aktuellen Projektionen werden extreme Schmelzereignisse im Allgemeinen unterschätzt - und welche Konsequenzen dies für den zukünftigen Meeresspiegelanstieg hat, bleibt eine offene Forschungsfrage.Ziel des vorgeschlagenen Projektes ist es, die Auswirkungen extremer Schmelzereignisse auf die zukünftige Entwicklung des grönländischen Eisschildes zu untersuchen. Dabei werden die unmittelbaren und dauerhaften Auswirkungen auf die Oberflächenmassenbilanz und die Eisdynamik bestimmt und somit die Beiträge zum Meeresspiegelanstieg quantifiziert. In dem Forschungsprojekt planen wir zudem, kritische Schwellenwerte in der Häufigkeit, Intensität sowie Dauer von Extremereignissen zu identifizieren, die - sobald sie einmal überschritten sind - eine großräumige Änderung in der Eisdynamik auslösen könnten.Zu diesem Zweck werden wir die dynamische Reaktion des grönländischen Eisschilds in einer Reihe von Klimaszenarien untersuchen, in denen extreme Schmelzereignisse mit unterschiedlicher Wahrscheinlichkeit zu bestimmten Zeitpunkten auftreten, und die Dauer und Stärke prognostisch variiert werden. Um indirekte Effekte durch verstärktes submarines Schmelzen hierbei berücksichtigen zu können, werden wir das etablierte Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) mit dem Linearen Plume-Modell (LPM) koppeln. Das LPM berechnet das turbulente submarine Schmelzen aufgrund von Veränderungen der Meerestemperatur und des subglazialen Ausflusses. Es ist numerisch sehr effizient, so dass das gekoppelte PISM-LPM Modell Ensemble-Läufe mit hoher Auflösung ermöglicht. Folglich kann eine breite Palette von Modellparametern und Klimaszenarien in Zukunftsprojektionen in Betracht gezogen werden.Mit dem interaktiv gekoppelten Modell PISM-LPM werden wir den Beitrag Grönlands zum Meeresspiegelanstieg im 21. Jahrhundert bestimmen, unter Berücksichtigung regionaler Veränderungen von Niederschlag, Oberflächen- und Meerestemperaturen, und insbesondere der Auswirkungen von Extremereignissen. Ein Hauptergebnis wird eine Risikokarte sein, die aufzeigt, in welchen kritischen Regionen Grönlands zukünftige extreme Schmelzereignisse den stärksten Eisverlust zur Folge hätten.
The vegetation of East and South African savannahs has been shaped by the complex interaction of geo-biophysical processes and human impact. For both regions a controversial discussion is pertinent, as to whether massive degradation threatens the sustainability of livelihoods in these regions. Rangeland vegetation is mainly affected by environmental conditions (soil and climate) and by livestock management. Extent and interaction of these drivers are not well understood but have profound impacts on the resilience and vulnerability of these systems to be shifted toward unfavourable degraded or bush encroached states. The project aims to analyse and model rangeland vegetation in response to range management including livestock, soil quality and climatic conditions and to assess the impacts of changes in these conditions on the resilience and vulnerability of rangeland systems. Field measurements, remote sensing of vegetation patterns and dynamics and simulation modelling will be used to understand the dynamics of rangeland vegetation. We will use the 'fast' or 'state' variables potential of pastures to produce palatable biomass, the variability of this production, and the system's potential to recover from disturbance impact as indicators of resilience. 'slow' variables that control (or drive) the 'fast' variables such as management, climate and soil variables are recorded in cooperation with other subprojects as with A1 for soil variables. Results of the project will show which management activities are most favourable for individual regions to sustain plant production in the long term.
The project aims at achieving a better understanding of the processes that drive or limit the response of grassland systems in a world of increasing atmospheric pCO2. We will test the hypothesis that the previously shown increase in below-ground allocation of C under elevated pCO2 provides the necessary energy excess and will stimulate free-living N2 fixers in a low N grassland environment. The project thus aims at assessing the occurrence and importance of free-living N2 fixers under elevated pCO2 and identify the associated microbial communities involved in order to better understand ecosystems response and sustainability of grassland systems. This project had the last opportunity to obtain soil samples from a grassland ecosystem adapted to long-term (10 year) elevated atmospheric pCO2 as the Swiss FACE experiment. The project aims to identify the relevant components of free-living diazotrophs of the microbial community using 15N stable isotope - DNA probing.
Es sollen Beitraege zu einer Sammelveroeffentlichung erstellt werden, die sich mit demokratietheoretischen und staatsorganisationsrechtlichen Fragen befassen. Insbesondere geht es darum, die jeweils richtige Entscheidung fuer die Loesung umweltrechtlicher Probleme zu ermitteln (Gemeinde, Land, Bund, Europa) und neue Konzepte aus den USA (Public Intervenar, River Basin Community) auf ihre Tauglichkeit fuer das deutsche Umweltrecht zu untersuchen.
Background and Objectives: The project area is located in the Ashanti Region of Ghana / West Africa in the transition zone of the moist semideciduous forest and tropical savannah zone. Main land use in this region is subsistence agriculture with large fallow areas. As an alternative land-use, forest plantations are under development by the Ghanaian wood processing company DuPaul Wood Treatment Ltd. Labourers from the surrounding villages are employed as permanent or casual plantation workers. Within three forest plantation projects of approximately 6,000 ha, DuPaul offers an area of 164 ha (referred to as Papasi Plantation) - which is mainly planted with Teak (Tectona grandis) - for research purposes. In return, the company expects consultations to improve the management for sustainable timber and pole production with exotic and native tree species. Results: In a first research approach, the Papasi Plantation was assessed in terms of vegetation classification, timber resources (in qualitative and quantitative terms) and soil and site conditions. A permanent sampling plot system was established to enable long-term monitoring of stand dynamics including observation of stand response to silvicultural treatments. Site conditions are ideally suited for Teak and some stands show exceptionally good growth performances. However, poor weed management and a lack of fire control and silvicultural management led to high mortality and poor growth performance of some stands, resulting in relative low overall growth averages. In a second step, a social baseline study was carried out in the surrounding villages and identified landowner conflicts between some villagers and DuPaul, which could be one reason for the fire damages. However, the study also revealed a general interest for collaboration in agroforestry on DuPaul land on both sides. Thirdly, a silvicultural management concept was elaborated and an improved integration of the rural population into DuPaul's forest plantation projects is already initiated. If landowner conflicts can be solved, the development of forest plantations can contribute significantly to the economic income of rural households while environmental benefits provide long-term opportunities for sustainable development of the region. Funding: GTZ supported PPP-Measure, Foundation
Forests play a relevant role in mitigation of climate change. A major issue, however, is the scientifically well founded, transparent and verifyable monitoring of achievements in forest carbon sequestration through reduction of deforestation and forest degradation, and through fostering sustainable forest management. Monitoring is particularly difficult in diverse and inaccessible humid tropical forest areas. The proposed research will contribute to the improvement of forest carbon monitoring under the challenging conditions of humid tropical forests. Sample based field observations and model based biomass predictions will be linked to area-wide satellite remote sensing imagery (RapidEye) and to strip samples of LiDAR imagery. Techniques of linking these data sources will be further developed and analysed with respect to (1) precision of carbon estimation and (2) accuracy of carbon regionalization. The proposed project implies research on methodological improvements of both sample based forest inventories (resampling techniques for biomass, imputation of non-response) and remote sensing application to forest monitoring (regionalization, sample based application of LiDAR data). At the core of this research is the analysis of the error variance components that each data source brings into the system. Such error analysis will allow identifying optimal resource allocation for the efficient improvement of forest carbon monitoring systems.
The decomposition of terrestrial organic material such as leaf litter represents a fundamental ecosystem function in streams that delivers energy for local and downstream food webs. Although agriculture dominates most regions in Europe and fungicides are applied widely, effects of currently used fungicides on the aquatic decomposer community and consequently the leaf decomposition rate are largely unknown. Also potential compensation of such hypothesised adverse effects due to nutrients or higher average water temperatures associated with climate change are not considered. Moreover, climate change is predicted to alter the community of aquatic decomposers and an open question is, whether this alteration impacts the leaf decomposition rate. The current projects follows a tripartite design to answer these research questions. Firstly, a field study in a vine growing region where fungicides are applied in large amounts will be conducted to whether there is a dose-response relationship between the exposure to fungicides and the leaf decomposition rate. Secondly, experiments in artificial streams with field communities will be carried out to assess potential compensatory mechanisms of nutrients and temperature for effects of fungicides. Thirdly, field experiments with communities exhibiting a gradient of taxa sensitive to climate change will be used to investigate potential climate-related effects on the leaf decomposition rate.
Dieses hybride ICDP/IODP-Projekt hat zum Ziel: (a) die empfindliche Vegetationsreaktion von zwei Zufluchtsorten auf der Balkanhalbinsel (Ohrid/ICDP im Norden und Korinth/IODP im Süden) im letzten Klimazyklus auf hundertjähriger Skala zu verbinden, (b) die Lead-Lag-Beziehungen zwischen terrestrischen und marinen Ökosystemen auf globale Klimaschwankungen auf lokaler und regionaler Ebene in bestimmten stratigraphischen Horizonten seit der letzten Zwischeneiszeit zu untersuchen. Die beiden Untersuchungsgebiete liegen in Schlüsselpositionenen im östlichen Mittelmeerraum, der sehr empfindlich auf abrupte Klimaschwankungen reagiert und es erlaubt, Einflüsse sowohl aus höheren (z. B. Nordatlantik) als auch aus niedrigeren Breitengraden (z. B. afrikanischer Monsun) nachzuweisen. Die Bestimmung der Zusammensetzung, Fülle und der Abfolge der Vegetation in den nördlichsten und südlichsten Refugialstandorten des Pindus-Gebirges wird es uns ermöglichen, bioklimatische Schwellenwerte und die Vegetationsdynamik während einer Zeit abrupter Klimaschwankungen mit hoher Amplitude zu rekonstruieren. Neben Vegetationsverschiebungen erfassen Sedimente aus dem Golf von Korinth auch Veränderungen in marinen Ökosystemen. Somit können Lead-Lag-Beziehungen im lokalen Ausdruck der Klimaschwankungen zwischen dem terrestrischen und dem marinen Bereich unter Umgehung chronologischer Unsicherheiten bestimmt werden. Das Verständnis des Zusammenspiels zwischen klimatischen, ökologischen und tektonischen Faktoren auf suborbitaler Ebene innerhalb des Grabensystems wird es uns folglich ermöglichen, das Hauptziel der IODP Exp. 381 zu erreichen. Durch die Untersuchung der Vielfalt und Fülle der gemäßigten Baumarten während der letzten Eiszeit greift dieses Projekt eines der wichtigsten wissenschaftlichen Ziele des SCOPSCO ICDP-Projekts auf, das sich mit Pflanzenresilienz und Schutzstrategien in Südosteuropa befasst.
The majority of the worlds forests has undergone some form of management, such as clear-cut or thinning. This management has direct relevance for global climate: Studies estimate that forest management emissions add a third to those from deforestation, while enhanced productivity in managed forests increases the capacity of the terrestrial biosphere to act as a sink for carbon dioxide emissions. However, uncertainties in the assessment of these fluxes are large. Moreover, forests influence climate also by altering the energy and water balance of the land surface. In many regions of historical deforestation, such biogeophysical effects have substantially counteracted warming due to carbon dioxide emissions. However, the effect of management on biogeophysical effects is largely unknown beyond local case studies. While the effects of climate on forest productivity is well established in forestry models, the effects of forest management on climate is less understood. Closing this feedback cycle is crucial to understand the driving forces behind past climate changes to be able to predict future climate responses and thus the required effort to adapt to it or avert it. To investigate the role of forest management in the climate system I propose to integrate a forest management module into a comprehensive Earth system model. The resulting model will be able to simultaneously address both directions of the interactions between climate and the managed land surface. My proposed work includes model development and implementation for key forest management processes, determining the growth and stock of living biomass, soil carbon cycle, and biophysical land surface properties. With this unique tool I will be able to improve estimates of terrestrial carbon source and sink terms and to assess the susceptibility of past and future climate to combined carbon cycle and biophysical effects of forest management. Furthermore, representing feedbacks between forest management and climate in a global climate model could advance efforts to combat climate change. Changes in forest management are inevitable to adapt to future climate change. In this process, is it possible to identify win-win strategies for which local management changes do not only help adaptation, but at the same time mitigate global warming by presenting favorable effects on climate? The proposed work opens a range of long-term research paths, with the aim of strengthening the climate perspective in the economic considerations of forest management and helping to improve local decisionmaking with respect to adaptation and mitigation.
Sediment erosion and transport is critical to the ecological and commercial health of aquatic habitats from watershed to sea. There is now a consensus that microorganisms inhabiting the system mediate the erosive response of natural sediments ('ecosystem engineers') along with physicochemical properties. The biological mechanism is through secretion of a microbial organic glue (EPS: extracellular polymeric substances) that enhances binding forces between sediment grains to impact sediment stability and post-entrainment flocculation. The proposed work will elucidate the functional capability of heterotrophic bacteria, cyanobacteria and eukaryotic microalgae for mediating freshwater sediments to influence sediment erosion and transport. The potential and relevance of natural biofilms to provide this important 'ecosystem service' will be investigated for different niches in a freshwater habitat. Thereby, variations of the EPS 'quality' and 'quantity' to influence cohesion within sediments and flocs will be related to shifts in biofilm composition, sediment characteristics (e.g. organic background) and varying abiotic conditions (e.g. light, hydrodynamic regime) in the water body. Thus, the proposed interdisciplinary work will contribute to a conceptual understanding of microbial sediment engineering that represents an important ecosystem function in freshwater habitats. The research has wide implications for the water framework directive and sediment management strategies.
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